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     Mon. Nov. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $209.0700 (-0.11%) ($208.5200 - $209.9800) on Mon. Nov. 23, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.29% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $209.0700(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $208.23(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average  $207.1(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average  $208.1(0.47%)
To recent high  -0.9%
To recent low  11.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0.5
One Month Target Price  > $211.79
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $198.13
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -125.8000 k (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.9% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.3% away from the target price of 211.79.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.99% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

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