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     Wed. Dec. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $207.7700 (0.01%) ($207.7200 - $208.3400) on Wed. Dec. 24, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.9% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $207.7700(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVE(94%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    VYM(88%)    XLK(88%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $207.26(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average  $204.22(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average  $205.36(1.17%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  11.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0.8
One Month Target Price  > $207.77
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $198.42
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.5% away from the target price of 207.77.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

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