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     Mon. Nov. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $204.3700 (0.06%) ($203.6500 - $204.5800) on Mon. Nov. 17, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.76% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $204.3700(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $204.19(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average  $203.54(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average  $200.65(1.85%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  9.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0.9
One Month Target Price  > $204.37
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $196.6
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.1% away from the target price of 204.37.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

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