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     Wed. Aug. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $194.8400 (0.68%) ($193.9600 - $195.0600) on Wed. Aug. 13, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.54% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $194.8400(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $195.17
5 Day Moving Average  $193.29(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average  $193.03(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average  $195.17(-0.17%)
To recent high  -1.9%
To recent low  4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

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