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     Tue. Jun. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $194.8300 (0.28%) ($193.8100 - $194.9700) on Tue. Jun. 17, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.61% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $194.8300(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $194.34(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average  $194.59(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average  $192.93(0.98%)
To recent high  -0.4%
To recent low  7.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0.9
One Month Target Price  > $194.83
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $188.89
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.2% away from the target price of 194.83.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

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