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     Mon. Nov. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $179.4200 (-0.35%) ($179.0200 - $180.5000) on Mon. Nov. 18, 2013.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.68% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $179.4200(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(79%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.5%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $178.82(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average  $177.79(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average  $176.91(1.42%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  9.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.7
One Month Target Price  > $179.42
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $173.32
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.1% away from the target price of 179.42.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

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