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     Wed. Feb. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 5, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $133.8500 (0.63%) ($133.1900 - $134.0100) on Wed. Feb. 16, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.65% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $133.8500(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(89%)    IWM(88%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(80%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-33%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $133.14(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average  $132.5(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average  $130.94(2.22%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  13.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.5
One Month Target Price  > $133.85
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $129.5
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -6.8% away from the target price of 133.85.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

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