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     Wed. Nov. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $120.2000 (1.48%) ($119.1800 - $120.2300) on Wed. Nov. 24, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.89% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $120.2000(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(89%)    IWM(88%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(80%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-33%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $119.82(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average  $119.72(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average  $120.16(0.03%)
To recent high  -2.1%
To recent low  14.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

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