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     Thu. Oct. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $117.4600 (-0.39%) ($116.7200 - $118.0100) on Thu. Oct. 14, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.06% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $117.4600(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(89%)    IWM(88%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(80%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $117.12(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average  $116.26(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average  $115.13(2.02%)
To recent high  -0.4%
To recent low  11.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.5
One Month Target Price  > $117.46
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $111.23
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1% away from the target price of 117.46.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

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