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     Fri. Oct. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $114.6100 (0.42%) ($113.9300 - $115.1200) on Fri. Oct. 1, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.12% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $114.6100(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(89%)    IWM(88%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(80%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $114.43(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average  $114.13(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average  $113.01(1.42%)
To recent high  -0.2%
To recent low  12.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.1
One Month Target Price  > $114.61
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $108.19
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.9% away from the target price of 114.61.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

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