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     Tue. Sep. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $113.9800 (-0.2%) ($113.5100 - $114.8400) on Tue. Sep. 21, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.21% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $113.9800(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(89%)    IWM(88%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(80%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $113.36(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average  $112.57(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average  $110.07(3.55%)
To recent high  -0.2%
To recent low  11.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.3
One Month Target Price  > $114.66
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $107.72
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.6% away from the target price of 114.66.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

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