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     Tue. Sep. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $112.6500 (-0.06%) ($112.0800 - $113.2900) on Tue. Sep. 14, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.23% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $112.6500(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(89%)    IWM(88%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(80%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-32%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $111.64(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average  $110.31(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average  $108.73(3.61%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  10.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.6
One Month Target Price  > $115.02
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $107.95
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 2.1% away from the target price of 115.02.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

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