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     Mon. Apr. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 13, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $118.7600 (0.81%) ($117.9200 - $118.8400) on Mon. Apr. 5, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.89% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $118.7600(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(81%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-34%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $117.66(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average  $117.26(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average  $116.51(1.93%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  12.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2
One Month Target Price  > $118.76
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $113.48
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.3% away from the target price of 118.76.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

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