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     Thu. Apr. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $117.8000 (0.68%) ($117.1000 - $118.2500) on Thu. Apr. 1, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.9% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $117.8000(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(80%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-34%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(3%)    IGOV(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $117.22(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average  $116.98(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average  $116.28(1.31%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  11.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.2
One Month Target Price  > $117.8
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $112.5
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.2% away from the target price of 117.8.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

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