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     Wed. Mar. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $116.8400 (-0.49%) ($115.5800 - $117.4300) on Wed. Mar. 24, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.92% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $116.8400(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(81%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-34%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(3%)    IGOV(4%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $116.77(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average  $116.41(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $114.74(1.83%)
To recent high  -0.5%
To recent low  10.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0.9
One Month Target Price  > $116.84
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $111.47
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.1% away from the target price of 116.84.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

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