Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 9, 2018

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $310.8000 (-4.66%) ($303.7100 - $344.2000) on Fri. Feb. 9, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.82% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $310.8000(-4.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 11.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(22%)    VIXM(22%)    UUP(20%)    GDXJ(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    QQQ(-92%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.41% (StdDev 2.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $304.7(2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $282.21(10.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $269.44(15.35%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   28.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 8.53% (three month std-dev: 2.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.83%(83%) Average negative next day return: -2.85%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.01%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.99%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.18%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2018	314.48	269.44	282.21	304.7	305.28	313.64	310.8(-4.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	361	200	353	384	1.33	45%	-0.2	38.8	2.82%	0	1.8	72	-1.7
2	Feb_8_2018	315.1	267.19	275.36	296.88	298.39	298.91	326(11.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	213	30	190	280	1.06	48%	-0.14	29.1	2.76%	0	2.8	73	-2.5
3	Feb_7_2018	315.53	264.33	267.45	282.72	287.53	296.93	293.3(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	133	280	111	197	0.84	40%	-0.24	9.6	2.36%	0	1.8	64	-1.8
4	Feb_6_2018	316.3	263.22	263.04	274.94	279.11	297.87	288(-5.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	540	520	605	345	1.04	40%	-0.26	-9.6	2.35%	0	1.7	63	-2
5	Feb_5_2018	317.14	262.47	259.13	268.3	266.28	278.13	305.4(12.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	491	290	562	279	1.38	43%	-0.21	-29.9	2.24%	0	3	65	-2.9

6	Feb_2_2018	317.82	260.82	253.33	256.64	256.99	260.36	271.7(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	259	100	316	89	0.69	30%	-0.33	-74.5	1.57%	0	1	52	-2.2
7	Feb_1_2018	318.87	261.27	251.75	250.74	251.91	254.42	255.2(0.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	46	80	91	-88	0.47	21%	-0.38	-87.2	1.31%	0	-0.5	33	-0.5
8	Jan_31_2018	320.08	262.81	252.29	249.88	249.48	253.62	254.4(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	119	110	186	-84	0.55	21%	-0.38	-85.5	1.3%	0	-0.6	28	-1.6
9	Jan_30_2018	321.3	264.65	252.83	249.2	248.62	249.41	254.8(3.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	105	20	180	-119	0.58	21%	-0.39	-81	1.3%	0	-0.7	30	-1.9
10	Jan_29_2018	322.56	266.77	254.03	248.42	247.81	245.33	247.1(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-180	-80	-146	-283	0.42	16%	-0.45	-81.6	1.24%	0	-1.4	20	-2.1

11	Jan_26_2018	324.03	269.22	255.86	249.5	249.38	247.83	242.2(-3.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-220	-40	-187	-317	0.27	11%	-0.46	-75.6	1.22%	0	-1.7	12	136.8
12	Jan_25_2018	325.53	272.03	258.76	252.8	252.01	250.29	250.9(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-152	-60	-106	-289	0.31	15%	-0.43	-71.7	1.16%	0	-1.4	12	137.4
13	Jan_24_2018	326.94	274.42	261.29	255.02	254.43	250.94	251(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-233	-100	-203	-321	0.39	15%	-0.44	-66.7	1.18%	0	-1.5	11	-1.4
14	Jan_23_2018	328.39	276.77	263.74	257	257.25	253.73	250.9(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-298	-90	-276	-362	0.23	15%	-0.25	-65.3	1.18%	0	-1.7	10	0.1
15	Jan_22_2018	329.2	279.13	266.42	260.52	260.22	257.93	252.5(-2.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-225	-70	-191	-327	0.23	15%	-0.41	-66.8	1.2%	0	-1.8	9	0.9

16	Jan_19_2018	330.56	281.51	269.13	263.16	262.48	260.76	258.7(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-183	-50	-139	-315	0.25	15%	-0.4	-68.1	1.18%	0	-1.6	15	1