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     Fri. Jan. 19, 2024

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Mon. May. 6, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $187.2200 (3.83%) ($181.4200 - $187.2200) on Fri. Jan. 19, 2024.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.57% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $187.2200(3.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(88%)    IVW(84%)    SPY(75%)    IWO(56%)    DIA(45%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VXX(-51%)    VIXM(-36%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-4%)    GDX(7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV   1.6 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $178.11(5.11%)
10 Day Moving Average  $174.94(7.02%)
20 Day Moving Average  $173.3(8.03%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  36%
Market Cap  $N/A