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     Wed. Mar. 4, 2020

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. May. 3, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $138.7600 (4.96%) ($138.7600 - $138.7600) on Wed. Mar. 4, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.94% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $138.7600(4.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  FIVG(74%)    QQQ(73%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)    SPY(68%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-45%)    VXX(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    TLT(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV   1.9 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $125.58(-9.5%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $142.63
5 Day Moving Average  $133.81(3.7%)
10 Day Moving Average  $137.13(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average  $142.63(-2.71%)
To recent high  -8.9%
To recent low  7%
Market Cap  $N/A