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     Wed. Sep. 19, 2018

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $104.2776 (0.23%) ($103.7379 - $104.7289) on Wed. Sep. 19, 2018.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.21% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $104.2776(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(74%)    IVW(72%)    IWF(72%)    XLK(70%)    SPY(69%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VXX(-18%)    UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    IPO(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $104.93
5 Day Moving Average  $103.97(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average  $103.87(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average  $104.93(-0.62%)
To recent high  -3.1%
To recent low  5.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

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