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     Wed. Feb. 28, 2018

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $104.5327 (-0.79%) ($104.4051 - $106.2497) on Wed. Feb. 28, 2018.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.7% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $104.5327(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(74%)    IVW(72%)    IWF(72%)    XLK(70%)    SPY(69%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $104.14(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average  $102.81(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average  $100.85(3.65%)
To recent high  -1.8%
To recent low  11.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 3.32% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

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