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     Thu. Feb. 15, 2018

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $101.0692 (1.26%) ($98.7438 - $101.0692) on Thu. Feb. 15, 2018.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.7% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $101.0692(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(74%)    IWF(73%)    IVW(72%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.5%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $101.22
5 Day Moving Average  $98.49(2.62%)
10 Day Moving Average  $98.08(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average  $101.22(-0.15%)
To recent high  -5.1%
To recent low  8.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

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