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     Thu. Feb. 1, 2018

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $103.8655 (-0.61%) ($103.5025 - $105.3961) on Thu. Feb. 1, 2018.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.3% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $103.8655(-0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    IWF(73%)    IVW(72%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $104.72(-0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average  $104.73(-0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average  $103.14(0.7%)
To recent high  -2.5%
To recent low  10.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

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