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     Wed. Jul. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $59.6313 (1.54%) ($58.8732 - $59.7321) on Wed. Jul. 20, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.52% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $59.6313(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(69%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $58.41(2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average  $57.3(4.07%)
20 Day Moving Average  $55.6(7.25%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  21.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 4.03% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

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