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     Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $55.6009 (2.73%) ($54.4685 - $55.6009) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.49% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $55.6009(2.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    IWF(73%)    IVW(72%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.7%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $54.2(2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average  $53.68(3.58%)
20 Day Moving Average  $54.06(2.85%)
To recent high  -1%
To recent low  13%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

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