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     Fri. Apr. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $53.1059 (0.47%) ($52.3094 - $53.1251) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.7% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $53.1059(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $52.73(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average  $52.57(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average  $51.79(2.54%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  21.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

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