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     Thu. Oct. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $50.3534 (0.68%) ($49.9965 - $50.6634) on Thu. Oct. 15, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.68% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $50.3534(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VUG(70%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $49.43(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average  $49(2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average  $47.64(5.7%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  17.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

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