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     Fri. Jun. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $54.1856 (-0.36%) ($53.9320 - $54.5613) on Fri. Jun. 19, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.25% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $54.1856(-0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    XLY(64%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.6%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $54.3
5 Day Moving Average  $53.82(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average  $53.67(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average  $54.3(-0.21%)
To recent high  -3.5%
To recent low  7.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

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