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     Thu. Apr. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $53.1993 (-1.03%) ($52.7579 - $53.4248) on Thu. Apr. 23, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.32% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $53.1993(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    IWM(63%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $52.85(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average  $52.73(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average  $52.28(1.76%)
To recent high  -3.1%
To recent low  7.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

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