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     Tue. Apr. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $52.7955 (0.64%) ($52.5888 - $53.1993) on Tue. Apr. 21, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.3% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $52.7955(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    IWM(63%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $52.58(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average  $52.47(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average  $52.12(1.3%)
To recent high  -3.9%
To recent low  6.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

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