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     Wed. Nov. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $51.2336 (2.02%) ($50.2772 - $51.2614) on Wed. Nov. 26, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.47% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $51.2336(2.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    XLY(64%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.9%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $50.24(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average  $49.46(3.59%)
20 Day Moving Average  $48.79(5.01%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  22.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

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