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     Wed. Nov. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $48.8567 (-0.17%) ($48.6431 - $49.2086) on Wed. Nov. 19, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.44% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $48.8567(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    XLY(64%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $48.56(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average  $48.35(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average  $47.78(2.25%)
To recent high  -0.2%
To recent low  17.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

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