| SMH latest price $41.4660 (1.18%) ($40.8810 - $41.4845) on Tue. Mar. 18, 2014. |
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| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
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| Average Daily Percentage Swing | 0.75% (three month average) |
| RSI | 63 |
| Latest Price | $41.4660(1.18%) |
| Stocks Behave Similarly | Similar Stock List |
| Top Holdings | Top Holding List |
| Daily Trend | SMH advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days. |
| Weekly Trend | SMH advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks. |
| Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
| Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%) XLK(72%) SPY(70%) XLY(64%) IWM(63%) |
| Factors Impacting SMH price | SMH will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%) UUP(-9%) IGOV(-6%) SHY(-4%) GDXJ(-1%) |
| Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
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| Relative Volatility | (options are extremely cheap) |
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| Market Trend Strength | -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%) |
| Hourly BBV | 0 () |
| Intraday Trend | 1% |
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