Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 28, 2018

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $185.7900 (-0.02%) ($184.9700 - $186.2800) on Fri. Sep. 28, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $185.7900(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(98%)    IVW(97%)    SPY(92%)    VUG(89%)    XLK(88%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-23%)    UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    DIA(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $184.78(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $184(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $183.72(1.13%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $185.79
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $178.73

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.2% away from the target price of 185.79.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

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