Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 23, 2018

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $179.5600 (0.32%) ($177.7400 - $179.6400) on Mon. Jul. 23, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $179.5600(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(98%)    IVW(97%)    SPY(92%)    VUG(90%)    XLK(88%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-23%)    UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    DIA(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $179.56(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $179.02(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $175.97(2.04%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1
One Month Target Price   > $179.56
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $171.93

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -4.8% away from the target price of 179.56.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

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