Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $174.9100 (0.27%) ($174.2800 - $175.3400) on Mon. Jun. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $174.9100(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(98%)    IVW(97%)    SPY(92%)    VUG(90%)    XLK(89%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-23%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    IFRA(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $174.9(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.2(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $171.08(2.24%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.4
One Month Target Price   > $175.96
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $164.43

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.6% away from the target price of 175.96.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

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