Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 4, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $120.1900 (0.54%) ($119.6600 - $120.4100) on Wed. Jan. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $120.1900(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    SPY(91%)    VUG(90%)    XLK(89%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.56(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.97(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $119.68(0.43%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.7
One Month Target Price   > $122.35
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $117.7

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.8% away from the target price of 122.35.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

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