Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 13, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $117.2900 (0.03%) ($116.9500 - $117.4600) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $117.2900(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    SPY(91%)    VUG(90%)    XLK(89%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.3(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.07(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.99(1.12%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.9
One Month Target Price   > $117.29
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $111.95

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.6% away from the target price of 117.29.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

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