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     Thu. Jan. 28, 2010

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)

NVS latest price $47.8000 (-0.89%) ($47.4800 - $47.9900) on Thu. Jan. 28, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $47.8000(-0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVS advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(57%)    EWG(56%)    XLP(52%)    EWI(51%)    EWP(51%)  
Factors Impacting NVS price  NVS will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-19%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(6%)    IGOV(11%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $47.75(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average  $47.52(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average  $47.19(1.29%)
To recent high  -3.7%
To recent low  4.8%
Market Cap  $109.413b
 
 
 
Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

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