Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 27, 2018

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $125.9500 (4.01%) ($119.8400 - $126.0900) on Thu. Dec. 27, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $125.9500(4.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(63%)    IBUY(51%)    IPO(51%)    IWO(51%)    ONLN(49%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    XHB(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $115.84(-8.03%)
5 Day Moving Average   $120.19(4.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.37(2.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.07(0.7%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $1.167b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2018	133.42	125.07	122.37	120.19	119.52	120.93	125.95(4.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	56	70	97	-67	0.12	43%	-0.1	-32.9	1.66%	0	0.2	45	-1.9
2	Dec_26_2018	133.55	125.04	122.47	119.56	119.12	118.16	121.09(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-50	-70	-23	-131	0.12	35%	-0.16	-36.4	1.57%	0	-1	36	-1.7
3	Dec_24_2018	133.76	125.31	123.03	120.01	120.18	118.11	116.7(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-126	-120	-110	-174	0.08	30%	-0.13	-36.6	1.53%	0	-2.3	15	-2.5
4	Dec_21_2018	133.94	125.75	124.16	121.24	121.81	120.08	116.58(-3.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-133	-90	-122	-165	0.15	30%	-0.15	-37.2	1.53%	0	-2.8	21	-2.4
5	Dec_20_2018	134.14	126.23	125.33	123.31	123.28	122.25	120.61(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-97	-60	-89	-122	0.11	32%	-0.09	-26.6	1.49%	0	-2.2	34	-2

6	Dec_19_2018	134.26	126.4	126.07	124.8	124.76	123.55	122.83(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-68	-70	-62	-87	0.09	33%	-0.06	-17.8	1.47%	0	-1.7	39	-1.4
7	Dec_18_2018	134.34	126.52	126.49	125.81	126	124.31	123.35(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-80	-90	-82	-74	0.11	36%	-0.04	-9.5	1.48%	0	-1.5	48	-1.7
8	Dec_17_2018	134.39	126.72	127.26	126.54	126.87	125.97	122.82(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-74	-40	-83	-48	0.15	36%	-0.04	-2.5	1.5%	0	-1.9	44	-1.9
9	Dec_14_2018	134.45	126.97	127.97	127.5	127.66	127.68	126.92(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	0	-6	15	0.08	39%	-0.08	9	1.46%	0	-0	60	-1.4
10	Dec_13_2018	134.56	126.9	128.07	127.63	127.72	127.77	128.1(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	0	7	31	0.07	39%	-0.05	0	1.47%	0	0.7	60	-0.8

11	Dec_12_2018	134.63	126.79	128.01	127.54	127.65	127.63	127.85(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	0	5	42	0.18	39%	-0.04	-2.1	1.47%	0	0.6	65	-1.2
12	Dec_11_2018	134.69	126.72	127.78	127.31	127.44	127.67	126.99(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	20	-16	33	0.13	39%	-0.05	-5.6	1.47%	0	0.1	58	-1.5
13	Dec_10_2018	134.76	126.77	127.72	128.13	127.8	127.68	127.64(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10	-4	50	0.12	39%	-0.06	10.4	1.48%	0	0.5	51	-1.8
14	Dec_7_2018	134.84	126.8	127.42	128.53	128.61	127.2	127.58(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-70	-28	40	0.1	39%	-0.07	23.3	1.49%	0	0.4	50	-2.4
15	Dec_6_2018	134.94	126.9	127.2	128.57	128.78	127.91	127.65(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-51	-40	-75	22	0.14	39%	-0.06	32.9	1.49%	0	0.4	55	-1.3

16	Dec_4_2018	135.02	126.9	126.77	128.53	129	130.02	126.71(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	36	70	29	56	0.12	37%	-0.07	36.8	1.49%	0	-0.1	52	-0.8
17	Dec_3_2018	135.11	126.83	126.57	128.24	128.31	129.65	131.07(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	91	70	97	74	0.14	41%	-0.04	44.5	1.44%	0	2.2	60	1.7
18	Nov_30_2018	135.16	126.59	126.11	127.24	126.98	127.97	129.64(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	50	60	37	0.13	41%	-0.04	46.3	1.44%	0	1.8	51	1.1
19	Nov_29_2018	135.22	126.37	125.83	126.19	126.31	126.97	127.76(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	40	54	12	0.12	38%	-0.05	39	1.43%	0	0.9	46	0.7
20	Nov_28_2018	135.29	126.28	125.58	125.67	125.63	125.99	127.46(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	19	20	32	-20	0.27	38%	-0.05	44.6	1.43%	0	0.8	42	1

21	Nov_27_2018	135.36	126.11	125.4	124.78	125.17	125.64	125.28(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	40	26	-41	0.11	34%	-0.07	20	1.41%	0	-0.5	48	0.6
22	Nov_26_2018	135.46	125.96	125.52	124.62	124.67	125.27	126.08(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	30	20	-47	0.13	34%	-0.07	0.7	1.42%	0	0.1	49	0.4
23	Nov_23_2018	135.55	125.8	125.7	124.82	124.6	124.69	124.35(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-0	4	-42	0.04	42%	-0.07	-5.7	1.58%	0	-0.7	44	-0.7
24	Nov_21_2018	135.65	125.77	126.11	125.43	125.08	124.07	125.18(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-60	-24	-36	0.07	42%	-0.05	-7.3	1.57%	0	-0.3	50	-0.4
25	Nov_20_2018	135.72	125.6	126.55	125.48	125.56	124.51	123.02(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-63	-60	-69	-43	0.19	40%		-25.3	1.55%	0	-1.2	43	-1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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