Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $173.0200 (0.05%) ($172.2800 - $173.7700) on Thu. Feb. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $173.0200(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(31%)    IGOV(27%)    TLT(23%)    PCY(22%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(4%)    SPY(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $170.47(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $169.14(2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.91(2.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.07% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.04%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.65%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.59%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2012	164.35	168.91	169.14	170.47	170.66	172.31	173.02(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	91	70	99	68	11.65	52%	0.09	100.9	1.22%	0	2.3	53	NAN
2	Feb_22_2012	164.21	168.57	168.64	169.48	169.22	171	172.94(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	100	70	114	56	16.68	52%	0.1	111.6	1.22%	0	2.7	57	NAN
3	Feb_21_2012	164.05	168.03	168.25	168.32	168.34	169.02	171.02(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	75	30	90	29	13.61	48%	0.1	83.6	1.22%	0	1.6	54	NAN
4	Feb_17_2012	163.89	167.65	167.85	167.62	167.58	167.44	167.35(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10	-7	-24	7.29	41%	0.06	67.6	1.23%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
5	Feb_16_2012	163.79	167.41	167.88	167.62	167.5	167.67	168(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	10	-1	-25	10.73	41%	0.07	61.8	1.27%	0	0.2	47	NAN

6	Feb_15_2012	163.67	167.1	168.16	167.58	167.43	167.73	168.11(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	10	10	-12	11.64	41%	0.05	60.2	1.27%	0	0.4	54	NAN
7	Feb_14_2012	163.59	166.8	168.29	167.66	167.64	167.33	167.12(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10	-6	-9	7.87	41%	0.06	60.6	1.27%	0	0.1	54	NAN
8	Feb_13_2012	163.49	166.5	168.51	168.17	168.03	167.14	167.51(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-28	-40	-39	4	7.09	41%	0.05	70.3	1.27%	0	0.3	67	NAN
9	Feb_10_2012	163.41	166.12	168.58	168.11	168.33	167.96	167.14(-0.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-26	-10	-39	15	10.33	41%	-0.01	66.7	1.29%	0	0.3	62	NAN
10	Feb_9_2012	163.43	165.8	168.78	168.21	168.38	168.91	168.02(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	30	4	52	16.09	41%	-0.04	68	1.29%	0	0.6	66	NAN

11	Feb_8_2012	163.49	165.4	168.73	168.81	168.32	168.69	168.5(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	10	21	85	10.66	41%	-0.04	74	1.29%	0	0.8	69	NAN
12	Feb_7_2012	163.56	164.92	168.55	169.03	168.74	167.84	169.7(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-40	-10	90	11.62	45%	-0.02	76	1.3%	0	1.2	71	NAN
13	Feb_6_2012	163.6	164.28	167.83	168.95	169.01	167.95	167.18(-0.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-41	-40	-77	67	8.81	43%	-0.05	78	1.32%	0	0.7	70	NAN
14	Feb_3_2012	163.69	163.79	167.48	169.12	169.52	169.64	167.64(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	10	-14	107	23.36	43%	-0.04	83.8	1.32%	0	0.9	73	NAN
15	Feb_2_2012	163.76	163.31	166.97	169.38	169.35	170.06	171.05(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	70	30	45	143	11.52	45%	-0.04	92.4	1.31%	0	1.7	79	NAN

16	Feb_1_2012	163.83	162.58	165.99	168.63	168.78	169.4	169.56(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	68	30	45	138	7.73	45%	-0.05	94.3	1.31%	0	1.6	78	NAN
17	Jan_31_2012	163.92	161.89	165.19	168	168.29	168.65	169.31(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	85	20	64	147	11.19	45%	-0.04	93.8	1.31%	0	1.8	80	NAN
18	Jan_30_2012	163.99	161.03	164.3	166.54	166.9	168.17	168.03(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	60	53	132	8.44	45%	-0.09	86	1.32%	0	1.8	81	NAN
19	Jan_27_2012	164.13	160.15	163.43	165.57	165.35	167.94	168.97(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	137	110	131	156	13.03	45%	-0.08	68.5	1.32%	0	2.2	81	NAN
20	Jan_26_2012	164.26	159.25	162.53	164.19	164	165.63	167.27(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	156	70	157	153	19.14	45%	-0.06	51.7	1.32%	0	1.9	76	NAN

21	Jan_25_2012	164.36	158.61	161.73	162.98	162.37	162.76	166.42(2.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	52	10	38	95	28.96	50%	-0.1	44.7	1.33%	0	1.9	77	NAN
22	Jan_24_2012	164.53	158.07	160.93	162.01	161.73	162.37	162.01(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	20	24	83	7.5	46%	-0.02	43.4	1.33%	0	1.1	73	NAN
23	Jan_23_2012	164.56	157.75	160.41	161.71	161.42	161.99	163.16(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	20	52	103	8.84	46%	-0.12	46.4	1.33%	0	1.5	84	NAN
24	Jan_20_2012	164.76	157.42	159.81	160.93	160.95	161.08	162.07(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	10	24	99	11.62	46%	-0.1	49.3	1.34%	0	1.4	85	NAN
25	Jan_19_2012	164.93	157.14	159.37	160.59	160.42	160.85	161.22(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	5	105	8.12	46%		47.8	1.35%	0	1.3	80	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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