Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 12, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $137.7800 (1.03%) ($135.5300 - $137.7900) on Mon. Nov. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $137.7800(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(32%)    LQD(30%)    IGOV(26%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(21%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)    QQQ(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $134.85(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $133.19(3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $132.58(3.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.54%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.35%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2010	123.41	132.58	133.19	134.85	134.81	136.26	137.78(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	116	70	100	164	17.37	70%	0.12	40.7	0.88%	0	2.3	71	0
2	Nov_5_2010	123.26	132.27	132.46	133.68	133.71	135.52	136.38(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	159	100	164	142	20.34	69%	0.12	40.1	0.88%	0	2.1	52	0
3	Nov_4_2010	123.11	132.02	131.77	132.93	132.87	133.36	136.03(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	117	20	127	88	23.47	69%	0.13	39.8	0.88%	0	2.3	53	0
4	Nov_3_2010	122.95	131.72	131.08	131.97	132.05	131.91	131.57(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10	-15	-22	31.71	65%	0.08	36.8	0.79%	0	-0.1	40	0
5	Nov_2_2010	122.85	131.73	131.05	131.56	131.87	132.38	132.49(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	30	45	-27	9.41	65%	0.11	40.9	0.78%	0	0.5	44	0

6	Nov_1_2010	122.72	131.65	130.8	131.24	131.17	132.2	131.92(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	48	50	76	-36	12.4	65%	0.11	40.8	0.78%	0	0.2	50	0
7	Oct_29_2010	122.59	131.5	130.99	131.02	130.68	131.37	132.62(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	69	30	100	-24	14.34	65%	0.11	40.2	0.78%	0	0.6	51	0
8	Oct_28_2010	122.46	131.32	131.05	130.44	130.41	130.15	131.24(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10	29	-62	15.9	63%	0.09	34.5	0.78%	0	-0	49	0
9	Oct_27_2010	122.35	131.17	131.36	130.09	130.09	130	129.52(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-0	-58	-89	16.13	56%	0.07	31.8	0.76%	0	-0.8	50	0
10	Oct_26_2010	122.26	131.12	131.82	130.45	130.26	130.67	130.88(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	15	20	29	-29	10.71	59%	0.07	39.2	0.79%	0	-0.1	48	0

11	Oct_25_2010	122.17	130.99	131.94	130.3	130.38	130.19	130.85(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10	13	-37	12.16	59%	0.1	38.4	0.79%	0	-0.1	51	0
12	Oct_22_2010	122.05	130.8	132.09	130.98	130.27	129.85	129.73(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-86	-40	-101	-41	11.89	57%	0.1	47.8	0.79%	0	-0.4	56	0
13	Oct_21_2010	121.93	130.68	132.32	131.77	131.35	130.56	129.47(-1.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-44	-50	-63	14	21.81	57%	0.08	57.9	0.8%	0	-0.5	54	0
14	Oct_20_2010	121.83	130.55	132.46	132.83	132.27	130.7	131.32(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-93	-100	-136	35	12.56	61%	0.09	69.7	0.78%	0	0.3	62	0
15	Oct_19_2010	121.72	130.31	132.53	133.38	133.14	132.14	130.11(-3.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-90	-60	-144	72	25.33	60%	0.07	76.6	0.78%	0	-0.1	60	0

16	Oct_18_2010	121.63	130.12	132.66	133.75	133.87	133.84	134.28(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	0	8	192	12.3	71%	0.12	78.6	0.67%	0	1.4	75	0
17	Oct_15_2010	121.48	129.65	132.1	133.35	133.4	134.13	133.68(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	86	40	47	201	26.17	66%	0.13	80.9	0.7%	0	1.3	77	0
18	Oct_14_2010	121.32	129.2	131.64	132.95	132.86	133.91	134.75(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	169	50	144	245	26.89	69%	0.13	82.6	0.69%	0	1.8	82	0
19	Oct_13_2010	121.16	128.68	130.95	132.07	132.06	132.67	134.07(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	123	30	95	207	18.4	69%	0.14	83.6	0.69%	0	1.9	82	0
20	Oct_12_2010	120.99	128.17	130.33	131.62	131.53	131.81	131.96(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	72	10	34	185	13.3	66%	0.13	87.3	0.67%	0	1.4	79	0