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| ^ GBTC: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice |
| Fri. Aug. 21, 2020 |
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Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Aug. 21, 2020)(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $13.5800 (-4.1%) ($13.5000 - $14.0800) on Fri. Aug. 21, 2020. Trend and Trading Plan | Trend Narrative | Uptrend | | Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. | | Daily Trend | GBTC advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days. | | Weekly Trend | GBTC advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks. | | Market Behavior | Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap. | | Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support GBTC decline at-0.9% a week (73% probability)
SIL(64%) GDXJ(62%) GDX(61%) SLV(59%) GLD(58%) | | Factors Impacting GBTC price | GBTC will advance at least 2.4% in a week (43% probabilities).
UUP(-57%) VIXM(-44%) VXX(-43%) TLT(-16%) IGOV(-14%) | | Trading Plan | Not Available | | | | | Valuation to SPY | 0.4 | | | | | Relative Volatility | -0.4 (options are faily valued) | | | | | Hourly BBV | 0 | | Hourly Trend | -1% [$13.92(-0.07), $14.06(-0.14)] | | Last Hour Trend | 0% [$0, $0] |
GBTC Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast
| Bullish Probability | 38% | | Bullish Price Move | 4.5% | | Bearish Probability | 63% | | Bearish Price Move | -4.5% | | Recommended Position Size | -6% | | Latest Price | $13.5800 | | Next Hour Price | $13.58(0%) | | 1 - 3 Day Target Price | $13.84(1.91%) | | 1 - 5 Day Possible Target | $15.54(14.43%) | | 1 - 5 Day Price Range | $13.53 - $13.97 | | Support Level | $13.35 | | 5 Day Moving Average | $14.12(-3.82%) | | 10 Day Moving Average | $13.67(-0.66%) | | 20 Day Moving Average | $13.35(1.72%) | | To recent high | -7.9% | | To recent low | 45.9% | | Market Cap | $N/A | | | | Option Sentiment | | | | | | | |
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Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust
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$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News
$. GBTC price fluctuates within 7.19% (three month std-dev: 4.53% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GBTC price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).
Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart > 20200921 | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | Hourly
BBV | RV | RVT(RV,IV) | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | ActualPriceRange | Trend-Narrative | NextDay
PriceTarget | NextDayPriceRange | RSI |
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| 1 | Aug_21_2020 | -7.9%-45.9% | 7.9%,1.1(-0.1) | 2.3%,0.3(-0) | 0.3%,0 | -0.3 | 0% | 2.4% | 0.2 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4(7.19%,NAN%) | 1.7 | 5.08 | 13.58(-4.1%) | 13.5-14.08 | Uptrend | 13.84(1.91%) | 13.53-13.97 | 53 | | 2 | Aug_20_2020 | -4%-52.1% | 8.3%,1(-0) | 2.3%,0.3(-0.1) | 1.5%,0.2 | -0.6 | 0% | 3.1% | 0.9 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.1(8.4%,NAN%) | 1.5 | 4.88 | 14.16(3.28%) | 13.79-14.31 | Uptrend | 14.47(2.21%) | 13.95-14.7 | 59 | | 3 | Aug_19_2020 | -7.1%-47.3% | 8.5%,0.9(-0) | 3%,0.3(-0.1) | 0.9%,0.1 | 0.3 | 0% | 4.6% | 0.5 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.2(9.52%,NAN%) | 1.6 | 6.49 | 13.71(-4.73%) | 13.65-14.37 | Uptrend | 14.08(2.71%) | 13.58-14.3 | 61 | | 4 | Aug_18_2020 | -2.4%-54.6% | 8.7%,0.8(0.1) | 3.6%,0.3(0.1) | 2.8%,0.3 | 1.2 | 0% | 6.1% | 1.1 | 0 | 1.1 | 0.5(10.73%,NAN%) | 1.6 | 8.22 | 14.39(-2.44%) | 13.9-14.77 | Uptrend | 14.89(3.49%) | 14.08-15.24 | 64 | | 5 | Aug_17_2020 | 0%-58.4% | 8%,0.7(0) | 2.6%,0.2(0) | 1.6%,0.1 | 0.9 | 0% | 7% | 1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 0.7(11.71%,NAN%) | 1.8 | 11.44 | 14.75(10.07%) | 13.85-14.78 | Uptrend | 15.15(2.72%) | 14.28-15.53 | 64 | | | | |
| 6 | Aug_14_2020 | -7.2%-43.9% | 7.7%,0.6(0) | 2.6%,0.2(-0.1) | 0.5%,0 | 0.3 | 0% | 7.9% | 0.7 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.9(12.2%,NAN%) | 1.8 | 5.14 | 13.4(2.21%) | 13.17-13.67 | Uptrend Consolidation | 13.2(-1.47%) | 12.99-13.84 | 61 | | 7 | Aug_13_2020 | -9.2%-40.8% | 7.6%,0.6(-0.1) | 4.1%,0.3(-0.2) | -2%,-0.2 | -0.3 | 0% | 9.2% | 0.6 | 0 | 0.4 | 1.2(13.13%,NAN%) | 1.7 | 3.47 | 13.11(0%) | 12.92-13.24 | Uptrend Consolidation | 12.92(-1.48%) | 12.68-13.63 | 71 | | 8 | Aug_12_2020 | -9.2%-40.8% | 8.3%,0.6(-0) | 6.8%,0.5(-0.2) | -1.1%,-0.1 | -0.6 | 0% | 10.2% | 0.7 | 0 | 0.4 | 1.4(13.82%,NAN%) | 1.5 | 4.31 | 13.11(4.46%) | 12.81-13.33 | Uptrend Consolidation | 12.9(-1.61%) | 12.57-13.9 | 70 | | 9 | Aug_11_2020 | -13.1%-34.8% | 8.6%,0.6(-0) | 9.5%,0.7(-0.2) | -1%,-0.1 | -0.6 | 0% | 11.2% | 0.4 | 0 | 0.2 | 1.5(14.27%,NAN%) | 1.3 | 7.96 | 12.55(-8.33%) | 12.5-13.35 | Uptrend Consolidation | 12.59(0.3%) | 12.28-13.51 | 71 | | 10 | Aug_10_2020 | -5.2%-47% | 9.2%,0.6(0) | 12.7%,0.9(-0.2) | 0.5%,0 | -0.3 | 0% | 12.6% | 1.2 | 0 | 1 | 1.8(14.79%,NAN%) | 1.6 | 8.03 | 13.69(4.82%) | 13.42-14.2 | Uptrend Consolidation | 13.34(-2.53%) | 12.78-15.04 | 79 | | | | |
| 11 | Aug_7_2020 | -9.6%-40.3% | 9.1%,0.6(-0) | 15.3%,1(-0.1) | 0.4%,0 | 0.3 | 0% | 13.3% | 0.9 | 0 | 0.6 | 2.1(14.78%,NAN%) | 1.6 | 11.71 | 13.06(-9.56%) | 12.62-14.31 | Uptrend | 14.51(11.12%) | 12.72-15.28 | 80 | | 12 | Aug_6_2020 | 0%-55.1% | 9.4%,0.6(0.1) | 16.5%,1.1(0) | 3.4%,0.2 | 0.9 | 0% | 12.9% | 1.9 | 0 | 1.5 | 2.4(14.83%,NAN%) | 1.6 | 8.52 | 14.44(4.34%) | 13.86-14.45 | Uptrend | 16.16(11.94%) | 13.69-17.22 | 89 | | 13 | Aug_5_2020 | 0%-48.7% | 8.4%,0.6(0) | 16%,1.2(0) | 2.4%,0.2 | 0.6 | 0% | 11.8% | 1.8 | 0 | 1.2 | 2.3(13.62%,NAN%) | 1.6 | 8.27 | 13.84(4.85%) | 13.65-14 | Uptrend | 15.23(10.01%) | 13.18-16.1 | 89 | | 14 | Aug_4_2020 | -1%-41.8% | 8.2%,0.6(0) | 15.8%,1.2(-0) | 1.1%,0.1 | 0.9 | 0% | 10.3% | 1.7 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.3(12.75%,NAN%) | 1.5 | 6.75 | 13.2(-1.05%) | 12.62-13.27 | Uptrend | 14.39(9.02%) | 12.65-15.14 | 85 | | 15 | Aug_3_2020 | 0%-43.3% | 8.1%,0.7(0) | 16%,1.3(0.1) | 1.9%,0.2 | 0.6 | 0% | 9.1% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.4(12.03%,NAN%) | 1.6 | 10.28 | 13.34(4.06%) | 12.69-13.45 | Uptrend | 14.44(8.24%) | 12.7-15.19 | 81 | | | | |
| 16 | Jul_31_2020 | 0%-37.7% | 7.7%,0.7(0.1) | 15.3%,1.4(0.2) | 4.1%,0.4 | -0.3 | 0% | 7.2% | 2 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.3(11.01%,NAN%) | 1.7 | 8.78 | 12.82(4.82%) | 12.12-13.1 | Growing Uptrend | 14.01(9.3%) | 12.29-14.44 | 80 | | 17 | Jul_30_2020 | -2.4%-31.4% | 6.1%,0.6(0.1) | 12.7%,1.3(0.2) | 3%,0.3 | 0.3 | 0% | 5.9% | 1.8 | 0 | 0.5 | 2.3(10.14%,NAN%) | 1.7 | 8.19 | 12.23(-0.97%) | 11.71-12.33 | Growing Uptrend | 13.08(6.99%) | 11.8-13.41 | 75 | | 18 | Jul_29_2020 | -1.4%-32.7% | 5%,0.5(0.2) | 10.5%,1.1(0.3) | 4%,0.4 | 2.4 | 0% | 4.4% | 2.2 | 0 | 0.5 | 2.2(9.38%,NAN%) | 1.9 | 11.71 | 12.35(-1.44%) | 12.25-13.07 | Growing Uptrend | 12.99(5.21%) | 11.86-13.28 | 74 | | 19 | Jul_28_2020 | 0%-49.2% | 3.1%,0.4(0.2) | 7.3%,0.9(0.4) | 5.1%,0.6 | 3.3 | 0% | 3% | 3 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.7(8.23%,NAN%) | 1.8 | 19.22 | 12.53(3.13%) | 12.21-13.2 | Growing Uptrend | 12.87(2.68%) | 11.94-13.1 | 68 | | 20 | Jul_27_2020 | -1.2%-44.6% | 1.1%,0.2(0.3) | 4.3%,0.7(0.6) | 5.4%,0.9 | 2.1 | 0% | 1.6% | 3.7 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5(6.15%,NAN%) | 1.8 | 20.52 | 12.15(17.05%) | 11.2-12.35 | Growing Uptrend | 12.25(0.83%) | 11.61-12.41 | 71 | | | | |
| 21 | Jul_24_2020 | -15.6%-23.6% | -0.7%,-0.2(0.2) | 0.9%,0.3(0.2) | 1.7%,0.5 | 2.1 | 0% | 0.3% | 1.8 | 0 | -0.6 | -1.3(3.37%,NAN%) | 1.5 | 4.39 | 10.38(-1.05%) | 10.05-10.62 | Uptrend Reversal | 10.49(1.08%) | 10.4-10.56 | 55 | | 22 | Jul_23_2020 | -14.7%-24.9% | -1.4%,-0.4(0.3) | 0.3%,0.1(0.4) | 2.5%,0.8 | 2.4 | 0% | -0.2% | 2.4 | 0 | -0.6 | -1.6(3.18%,NAN%) | 1.4 | 7.68 | 10.49(4.07%) | 10.26-10.67 | Rebound | 10.05(-4.18%) | 10.51-9.86 | 64 | | 23 | Jul_22_2020 | -18%-30.9% | -2.3%,-0.8(0.1) | -0.9%,-0.3(0) | 1.3%,0.4 | 2.7 | 0% | -0.7% | 1.2 | 0 | -1 | -2(2.87%,NAN%) | 1.7 | 4.24 | 10.08(2.13%) | 9.78-10.12 | Downtrend | 10.04(-0.4%) | 10.05-10.01 | 54 | | 24 | Jul_21_2020 | -19.8%-32.7% | -2.6%,-0.7(0.1) | -1%,-0.2(-0) | 0.2%,0.1 | 1.2 | 0% | -1% | 0.2 | 0 | -1.1 | -1.5(3.89%,NAN%) | 1.7 | 4.89 | 9.87(4.78%) | 9.73-10.09 | Downtrend | 9.82(-0.47%) | 9.81-9.85 | 54 | | 25 | Jul_20_2020 | -23.4%-29% | -2.9%,-0.7(0) | -0.9%,-0.2(-0.1) | -0.3%,-0.1 | -0 | 0% | -1.5% | -1 | 0 | -1.4 | -1.3(4.18%,NAN%) | 2.1 | 2.75 | 9.42(-1.26%) | 9.25-9.6 | Downtrend | 9.4(-0.19%) | 9.36-9.5 | 51 | | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | Hourly
BBV | RV | RVT | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | 5 Day
Target | Trend
Narrative | 5 Day
Price Change | SRI | RSI |
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