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     Wed. Jan. 6, 2021

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)

GBTC latest price $43.9300 (11.47%) ($39.7500 - $44.0000) on Wed. Jan. 6, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  5.77% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $43.9300(11.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GBTC advances 8.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GBTC advances 16.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  BLOK(65%)    BNDX(52%)    IWC(38%)    VCSH(37%)    ARKG(36%)  
Factors Impacting GBTC price  GBTC will decline at least -2.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-32%)    VXX(-23%)    VIXM(-16%)    UNG(-9%)    TLT(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.885% (StdDev 5.77%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   6.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $36.66(19.83%)
10 Day Moving Average  $33.31(31.88%)
20 Day Moving Average  $29.04(51.27%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  305.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 
Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 20.9% (three month std-dev: 5.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22   Average positive next day return: 6.36%(55%)   Average negative next day return: -7.77%(45%)
Sample size 22   Average positive next three day return: 12.41%(45%)   Average negative next three day return: -9.14%(55%)
Sample size 22   Average positive next weekly return: 17.26%(45%)   Average negative next weekly return: -10.16%(55%)

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