Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $61087.5000 (-17.67%) ($58931.2500 - $75056.2500) on Mon. May. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.51% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $61087.5000(-17.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 10.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-26%)    TIP(-25%)    LQD(-25%)    EEM(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.255% (StdDev 8.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -18.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $65325(-6.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60079.99(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57631.7(6%)
To recent high   -17.7%
To recent low   99.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 10.62% (three month std-dev: 8.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2013	37564.6	57631.7	60079.99	65325	67533.59	69367.97	61087.5(-17.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7217	290	8468	3463	0	63%	1.09	3.9	8.51%	0	0.6	63	NAN
2	May_17_2013	37159.06	57619.54	59484.66	64425.01	65034.77	69426.56	74200(12.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31245	500	36737	14769	0	67%	1.49	-1.1	8.27%	0	2.7	71	NAN
3	May_16_2013	36612.35	56993.07	57424.92	60113.76	61124.61	65699.22	65993.75(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	36010	570	42352	16983	0	66%	1.27	-10.6	8.22%	0	1.6	61	NAN
4	May_15_2013	36154.36	56942.07	56274.39	57375.01	57950.39	60642.98	66668.75(13.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	30746	360	36164	14493	0	67%	0.89	-3.3	8.28%	0	1.5	68	NAN
5	May_14_2013	35836.5	57157.7	54979.34	54041.26	54794.92	56550.01	58675(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9779	270	11503	4606	0	65%	1.08	6.2	8.21%	0	0.2	58	NAN

6	May_13_2013	35453.17	57393.86	54245.04	54181.26	53800.35	55257.81	56587.56(7.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9070	170	10674	4259	0	65%	1.02	28.2	8.22%	0	-0.1	43	NAN
7	May_10_2013	35094.25	57690.86	53946.64	53825	54572.61	53039.84	52643.75(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3729	-150	4394	1734	0	66%	0.91	42.3	8.1%	0	-0.8	44	NAN
8	May_9_2013	34777.06	57577.66	54301.33	54300	54547.23	52342.89	52300(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22113	-270	-26007	-10432	0	66%	0.92	46.7	8.16%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
9	May_8_2013	34459.74	57149.51	54188.75	54913.75	55349.45	56105.39	50000(-15.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4348	120	-5102	-2084	0	66%	0.88	46.7	8.22%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
10	May_7_2013	34160.26	56776.26	54588.08	55886.5	55669.4	56751.57	59375(8.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14344	120	16893	6696	0	70%	1.21	44	7.91%	0	0.3	37	NAN

11	May_6_2013	33753.23	55690.69	55052.45	54297.75	54814.01	54593.5	54806.25(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	438	0	536	143	0	69%	1.07	36.3	7.87%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
12	May_3_2013	33394.51	55060.87	55682.2	54106.25	54684	54587.24	55018.75(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1784	20	-2077	-906	0	69%	1.09	37.9	7.76%	0	-0	46	NAN
13	May_2_2013	33034.87	54349.16	56538.95	54354	54475.45	55034.52	55368.75(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2232	80	2643	999	0	69%	1.16	40.8	7.82%	0	0.1	60	NAN
14	May_1_2013	32656.55	53587.4	57624.63	53391.5	54210.69	54780.76	54863.75(6.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9100	120	10717	4250	0	69%	1.1	41	7.88%	0	0.1	66	NAN
15	Apr_30_2013	32301.46	53007.04	59404.17	53102.5	52836.79	53916.38	51431.25(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1013	130	-1191	-478	0	69%	1.01	43.2	7.83%	0	-0.1	66	NAN

16	Apr_29_2013	31979.13	52386.96	60745.38	55960	53603.91	53640.63	53848.75(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	659	-120	759	359	0	69%	1.07	51.6	7.8%	0	0.1	71	NAN
17	Apr_26_2013	31640.41	51435.94	61725.56	57533.5	56543.83	51757.19	56257.5(11.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16423	-640	-19350	-7640	0	69%	1.15	56.5	7.75%	0	0.4	66	NAN
18	Apr_25_2013	31282.06	50290.36	61179.58	59148.25	58524.06	53567.19	50556.25(-5.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55139	-620	-64909	-25829	0	69%	0.95	60	7.71%	0	0	65	NAN
19	Apr_24_2013	30986.29	49433	60587.74	62453	62263.47	61330.47	53418.75(-18.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21644	-110	-25516	-10027	0	70%	1.12	67	7.71%	0	0.3	67	NAN
20	Apr_23_2013	30642.93	48480.14	59519.14	66542.5	65232.92	63480.93	65718.75(6.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1075	-250	-1336	-290	0	76%	1.55	78.4	7.32%	0	1.2	70	NAN

21	Apr_22_2013	30174.18	46792.61	56672.41	66252.5	66033.16	63196.48	61716.25(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20567	-310	-24273	-9449	0	76%	1.48	80.3	7.34%	0	1.1	72	NAN
22	Apr_19_2013	29733.32	45258.3	54639.09	66500.5	65657.54	66984.91	64331.25(-4.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6862	100	-8162	-2962	0	76%	1.62	82.4	7.35%	0	1.4	77	NAN
23	Apr_18_2013	29259.22	43532.18	52140.98	63393	64518.9	68869.84	67080(-9.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45917	530	53932	21872	0	76%	1.74	75.4	7.36%	0	1.8	79	NAN
24	Apr_17_2013	28758.26	41754.62	49235.63	58252	58859.61	64330.16	73866.25(14.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	49559	680	58225	23559	0	79%	2.01	65.6	7.22%	0	2.7	84	NAN
25	Apr_16_2013	28192.01	39569.96	45834.29	51452.5	51792.58	60167.97	64268.75(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	60691	1150	71337	28752	0	78%		58.3	7.04%	0	2.6	78	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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