Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 24, 2020

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $440.0000 (5.25%) ($400.4600 - $443.1970) on Wed. Jun. 24, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.55% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $440.0000(5.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 15% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(25%)    KWEB(17%)    MCHI(-1%)    ARKG(16%)    ARKK(1%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -5.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
ACES(-42%)    IBUY(-2%)    UNG(-87%)    IPO(-10%)    IBB(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.275% (StdDev 10.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $402.37(9.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $381.27(15.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $343.24(28.19%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   184.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 14.36% (three month std-dev: 10.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 4.78%(38%) Average negative next day return: -3.3%(62%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 12.53%(35%) Average negative next three day return: -6.93%(65%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 12.16%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.49%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2020	282.31	343.24	381.27	402.37	399.5	421.21	440(5.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	123	360	120	133	0.09	42%	0.64	78.8	10.55%	0	2	80	-0.7
2	Jun_23_2020	280.52	334.57	368.17	391.75	389.96	402.8	418.06(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	137	220	137	135	0.13	42%	0.46	80.2	10.68%	0	1.8	75	-0
3	Jun_22_2020	279.23	326.05	358.13	388.14	383.4	377.8	398.1(7.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	-140	-3	80	0.31	42%	0.43	85.7	10.67%	0	1.7	67	-0.2
4	Jun_19_2020	278.04	319.47	348.22	381.34	386.82	377.12	370.68(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-22	-130	-48	56	0.35	44%	0.31	80.6	10.75%	0	1.2	64	-0.8
5	Jun_18_2020	277.17	314.69	341.29	373.31	385.63	388.99	385(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	160	18	78	0.39	46%	0.43	74.9	10.8%	0	1.7	72	-0.7

6	Jun_17_2020	275.97	308.36	331.66	355.84	369.74	396.52	386.9(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	130	620	137	109	0.35	47%	0.49	61.5	10.89%	0	2	70	-0.9
7	Jun_16_2020	274.62	300.65	322.27	340.35	346.64	382.27	400(9.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	224	770	251	144	0.4	50%	0.49	48.2	10.95%	0	2.7	77	-1
8	Jun_15_2020	273.29	292.52	312.83	324.2	323.8	342.95	364.14(10.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	166	410	184	113	0.49	50%	0.36	47.6	11.05%	0	2.4	77	-1.3
9	Jun_12_2020	272.32	289.17	306.99	311.06	311.94	311.01	330.52(11.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	-10	43	51	0.44	49%	0.29	58.5	11.06%	0	1.6	65	-1.4
10	Jun_11_2020	271.52	287.03	302.55	304.89	307.88	304.64	297.62(-3.83%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-23	-40	-36	16	0.61	50%	0.16	76.2	11.01%	0	0.4	57	-2.6

11	Jun_10_2020	271.08	286.47	302.16	303.23	307.7	312.87	309.48(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	160	22	43	0.59	47%	0.19	98.3	11.03%	0	1	64	0.9
12	Jun_9_2020	270.57	283.97	298.51	300.69	303.13	311.12	319.25(6.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	210	56	61	0.37	45%	0.19	119.7	11.34%	0	1.5	73	1
13	Jun_8_2020	270.06	278.77	291.7	299.75	296.6	302.53	298.45(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	110	28	51	0.52	45%	0.26	111.2	11.52%	0	0.7	66	1.6
14	Jun_5_2020	269.37	274.91	288.93	302.48	297.58	295.13	299.65(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-110	15	43	0.64	47%	0.35	104.9	11.54%	0	0.8	50	2
15	Jun_4_2020	268.44	270	286.64	299.95	299.65	290.68	289.34(-2.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-34	-210	-49	13	0.56	47%	0.35	89.8	11.62%	0	0.6	51	1.6

16	Jun_3_2020	267.51	264.98	284.05	300.51	302.98	300.03	296.76(-5.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-19	-40	-31	17	0.83	46%	0.44	73.8	11.64%	0	0.8	53	1.7
17	Jun_2_2020	266.34	258.24	278.16	295.32	301.84	308.63	314.57(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	220	52	41	0.51	45%	0.52	53.9	11.66%	0	1.3	62	1.3
18	Jun_1_2020	264.96	251.85	270.91	282.18	289.4	305.92	312.06(8.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	78	480	88	47	0.72	45%	0.53	40.6	11.75%	0	1.4	70	1
19	May_29_2020	263.57	247.22	269.55	273.67	275.26	294.97	287(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	103	520	115	65	0.91	45%	0.39	35.6	11.8%	0	0.9	66	1.3
20	May_28_2020	262.54	243.13	269.71	271.69	267.64	272.69	292.15(7.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	90	75	65	0.77	46%	0.41	34.4	11.89%	0	1.2	70	0.9

21	May_27_2020	261.48	239.79	268.85	265.56	267.51	255.76	270.8(8.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-290	-20	41	0.65	47%	0.32	37.4	11.9%	0	0.8	71	1.5
22	May_26_2020	260.64	236.65	267.79	258.33	265.89	262.64	248.9(-7.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-33	0	-57	40	0.78	47%	0.48	32.9	11.96%	0	0.3	74	1.3
23	May_22_2020	259.4	235.16	264.89	257.22	261.25	279.27	269.52(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	530	64	96	0.72	48%	0.29	38	11.78%	0	0.9	67	1.2
24	May_21_2020	258.64	233.15	260.08	264.77	251.04	269.14	277.07(5.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	104	350	98	122	1	48%	0.07	44.4	11.87%	0	1.1	60	1.1