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     Fri. Feb. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Feb. 26, 2021)

(Retail sector ETF)

XRT latest price $79.2600 (-0.44%) ($78.8200 - $82.5290) on Fri. Feb. 26, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Downtrend Consolidation
Trend Narrative  Range Bound
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.42 (3.04% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.1% (StdDev 3%)
Daily Moving Force  0.2%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.02%
Trend Strength  -0.3%
RSI   53
Momentum  1
Latest Price  $79.2600(-0.44%)
Forecasted Low Price  78.59(-0.85%)
Forecasted High Price  80.13(1.1%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  5.6% ((83.66))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.7%
Hourly Trend   0.2% [$81.37(0.15), $79.98(0.26)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  4
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XRT advance at -0% a week (65% probability)
  VIXM(55%)    VXX(49%)    IWC(35%)    SHY(27%)    BND(14%)  
Factors Impacting XRT price  XRT will advance at least 0.7% in a week (62% probabilities).
  XLU(-66%)    XLV(-62%)    EWI(-61%)    EWP(-60%)    EWY(-59%)  
Trading Plan  Range Trading
 
Valuation to SPY 0
 
Relative Volatility   -1.9 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.6% (StdDev 3%)
Hourly BBV   -0.3 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.7%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $79.42(0.2%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $79.67
5 Day Moving Average  $79.64(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average  $79.42(-0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average  $79.67(-0.51%)
To recent high  -13.3%
To recent low  31.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XRT price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 3%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XRT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Feb_26_202179.67 (-0.2%)79.42 (0%)79.64 (0%) 79.98 81.37(0%)79.26(-0.44%)78.82-82.53-0.1(-0.2)-0.3 0.2%-0.1%0%-0.02%-0.3%531 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.3%)400.4Range Bound 79.32(0.07%)79.38-79.264.38   -13.3%-31.9% 
2Feb_25_202179.84 (0%)79.49 (0%)79.62 (0.4%) 79.72 81.22(0%)79.61(-3.07%)79.21-85.69-0.1(-0.1)0.3 2%-0.2%0%0.04%-0.4%601 N/A  Higher(3.3%)300.5Range Bound 79.68(0.09%)79.61-79.746.58   -13%-32.5% 
3Feb_24_202180.37 (0.2%)79.48 (0%)79.3 (0.8%) 78.83 78.6(0%)82.13(5.29%)77.49-82.3-0.2(0.5)2.6 0.6%0.3%0%0.1%-1.1%681.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)30.11.1N/A 82.06(-0.08%)81.31-82.682.59   -10.2%-36.7% 
4Feb_23_202180.32 (0.2%)79.2 (0%)78.68 (-0.4%) 78.34 78.22(0%)78(-1.54%)74.38-78.32-0.4(-0.7)-0.6 -0.8%-0.2%0%0.12%-1.4%631.5 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.2%)4-0.61.5N/A 78.94(1.21%)78.52-79.292.61   -14.7%-30.6% 
5Feb_22_202180.27 (0.4%)79.41 (0%)79.02 (-0.2%) 78.79 79.06(0%)79.22(0.09%)78.8-80.08-0.2(-0.3)-0.1 0.3%0.1%0%0.14%-1.1%381.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)5-0.31.7N/A 79.76(0.68%)79.76-79.761.98   -13.4%-32.7% 
 
6Feb_19_202180.09 (0.4%)79.39 (-0.2%)79.17 (-0.2%) 78.96 78.46(0%)79.15(1.49%)78.27-79.65-0.1(-0.2)-0.2 -0.2%0.2%0%0.02%-0.9%281.6 N/A  Range(0%)5-0.21.9N/A 79.59(0.55%)79.43-79.721.72   -13.5%-37.5% 
7Feb_18_202179.83 (0.4%)79.21 (-0.2%)79.35 (-0.4%) 79.19 78.51(0%)77.99(-1.34%)77.22-78.59-0(-0.4)-1.5 -0.9%0.1%0%-0.06%-0.8%411.7 N/A  Range(-0.1%)5-0.51.9N/A 78.65(0.85%)77.99-79.192.08   -14.7%-38.4% 
8Feb_17_202179.61 (0.4%)79.2 (-0.6%)79.66 (-0.2%) 79.69 79.46(0%)79.05(-0.78%)77.81-79.670.1(-0.1)-1.1 -0.4%0.3%0%-0.22%-0.5%321.9 N/A  Range(0.3%)5-0.32.1Downtrend 78.81(-0.3%)78.61-79.271.89   -13.6%-40.5% 
9Feb_16_202179.31 (0.4%)78.94 (-0.6%)79.78 (-0.1%) 79.88 79.87(0%)79.67(-0.42%)78.99-80.730.2(0.1)0.2 %-0.1%0%-0.3%-0.5%502 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)5-0.22Correction 79.1(-0.72%)79.2-78.971.3   -12.9%-42.1% 
10Feb_12_202178.96 (0.6%)79.21 (-0.4%)79.86 (0.3%) 79.83 79.93(0%)80.01(0%)79.26-80.310.3(0.2)0.7 0.1%-0.5%0%-0.18%0.3%572.1 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.4%)502.1Correction 79.35(-0.83%)79.01-79.760.55   -12.5%-49.6% 
 
11Feb_11_202178.67 (0.6%)79.92 (-0.2%)79.63 (0.7%) 79.88 79.88(0%)80.01(0.54%)79-81.320.3(0.3)1.5 0.4%-0.1%0%0.02%1.6%582.2 N/A  Range(0.3%)50.12.2Correction 79.67(-0.42%)78.98-80.521.29   -12.5%-49.6% 
12Feb_10_202178.27 (0.6%)80.18 (-0%)79.06 (0.5%) 79.52 79.74(0%)79.58(-0.08%)78.33-80.70.3(0.2)3.5 0.2%-0.8%0%0.12%2.4%602.3 N/A  Range(-0.6%)60.12.2Correction 79.06(-0.65%)77.98-80.381.87   -13%-48.7% 
13Feb_9_202177.91 (0.6%)81.27 (0.2%)78.65 (0.9%) 79 79.87(0%)79.64(-0.54%)79.19-80.260.3(0.3)2.6 0.8%0%0%0.4%4.3%612.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.1%)60.12Uptrend 80.72(1.35%)79.36-81.31.69   -12.9%-48.9% 
14Feb_8_202177.44 (0.8%)81.47 (0.4%)77.95 (-0.7%) 78.41 79.31(0%)80.07(1.53%)79.44-80.460.3(0.5)1 0.8%0.5%0%0.48%5.2%612.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.3%)60.21.8Uptrend 81.17(1.37%)79.63-81.832.14   -12.5%-49.7% 
15Feb_5_202176.87 (0.8%)81.16 (0.6%)78.52 (-2.3%) 77.87 78.13(0%)78.86(2.2%)77.5-80.150.3(0.3)-2.2 -0.7%0.5%0%0.66%5.6%612.6 Correction  Range(-0.2%)60.31.7Uptrend Consolidation 78.58(-0.36%)77.94-80.493.33   -13.8%-47.4% 
 
16Feb_4_202176.37 (1%)80.85 (0.8%)80.35 (-1.4%) 79.47 77.51(0%)77.16(-0.44%)77.06-78.310.6(0.1)-7.8 -1.5%0.4%0%0.94%5.9%572.8 Correction  Range(-0.9%)60.11.5Uptrend 79.74(3.35%)77-80.923.47   -15.6%-47.4% 
17Feb_3_202175.93 (1.2%)80.57 (1.2%)81.51 (-3.3%) 82.36 77.62(0%)77.5(1.79%)76.08-78.460.9(0.2)-1.8 -4%0.6%0%1.16%6.1%602.9 Correction  Lower(-3.4%)70.31.7Uptrend Consolidation 77.47(-0.04%)76.51-80.365.17   -15.3%-48.1% 
18Feb_2_202175.35 (1.4%)80.19 (1.6%)84.31 (-1.2%) 84.7 81.43(0%)76.14(-8.21%)75.28-80.431.4(0.1)-1.7 -4.8%0.5%0%1.58%6.4%583.1 Correction Correction Range(-0.2%)70.21.4Uptrend 80.94(6.3%)75.97-83.069.56   -16.8%-50.3% 
19Feb_1_202174.77 (1.6%)79.94 (2%)85.37 (1.6%) 87.7 87.1(0%)82.95(-5.75%)81.46-88.111.9(1.1)-0.3 0.3%1.3%0%1.82%6.9%693.5 Uptrend Dip  Higher(4.5%)81.21.1Uptrend Dip 99.83(20.35%)80.12-104.768.8   -9.3%-63.7% 
20Jan_29_202173.84 (1.4%)78.87 (1.8%)84.01 (3.2%) 86.26 87.98(0%)88.01(6.07%)83.49-93.482.1(2)1.8 1.5%1.8%-3.3%1.76%6.8%773.7 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-5.3%)92.30.2Overbought 86.13(-2.14%)76.87-100.0111.83   -3.8%-76.6% 
 
21Jan_28_202172.65 (1.2%)77.38 (1.6%)81.38 (2.5%) 83.32 88.31(0%)82.97(-9.29%)78.11-99.242.1(1.5)0.6 3.8%1.4%-3.2%1.56%6.5%753.6 Uptrend Dip  Lower(-4.8%)91.80.6Uptrend Dip 98.05(18.18%)79.16-102.7831.18   -9.3%-66.5% 
22Jan_27_202171.69 (1.2%)76.21 (1.6%)79.42 (5%) 80.06 84.54(0%)91.47(12.33%)85.28-93.482.1(3.1)2.2 6.2%2.5%-2.8%1.4%6.3%923.9 Overbought  Lower(-2.8%)93.50.9Approaching Top 95.74(4.67%)79.18-109.2932.65   0%-83.5% 
23Jan_26_202170.29 (0.8%)74.1 (1.2%)75.65 (2.5%) 75.84 78.32(0%)81.43(6.89%)76.52-81.651.7(2.4)2.8 2.9%1.5%0%1.06%5.4%903.8 Overbought  Higher(4.4%)92.61.5Overbought 79.17(-2.77%)72.85-88.679.62   0%-63.4% 
24Jan_25_202169.42 (0.8%)72.87 (1%)73.83 (1.2%) 74.16 75.58(0%)76.18(1.75%)74.68-82.511.5(1.7)1.3 2.2%1%0%0.96%5%893.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(3.2%)91.72.2Uptrend 79.62(4.51%)74.99-81.610.69   0%-52.8% 
25Jan_22_202168.83 (0.8%)72.07 (1%)72.99 (0.3%) 72.92 73.36(0%)74.87(2.32%)72.45-74.971.5(1.6)4 0.6%0.9%0%0.94%4.7%833.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.5%)91.72.1Uptrend 77.89(4.04%)73.66-79.713.74   0%-50.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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