Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Feb. 26, 2021)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $79.2600 (-0.44%) ($78.8200 - $82.5290) on Fri. Feb. 26, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Downtrend Consolidation
Trend Narrative   Range Bound
Average Daily Price Swing   $2.42 (3.04% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   3% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.1% (StdDev 3%)
Daily Moving Force   0.2%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Trend   -0.02%
Trend Strength   -0.3%
RSI   53
Momentum   1
Latest Price   $79.2600(-0.44%)
Forecasted Low Price   78.59(-0.85%)
Forecasted High Price   80.13(1.1%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   5.6% ((83.66))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1.7%
Hourly Trend 0.2% [$81.37(0.15), $79.98(0.26)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   4
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at -0% a week (65% probability)
VIXM(55%)    VXX(49%)    IWC(35%)    SHY(27%)    BND(14%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will advance at least 0.7% in a week (62% probabilities).
XLU(-66%)    XLV(-62%)    EWI(-61%)    EWP(-60%)    EWY(-59%)
Trading Plan   Range Trading

Valuation to SPY 0

Relative Volatility -1.9 (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0.6% (StdDev 3%)
Hourly BBV -0.3 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Next Day Open Price   $79.42(0.2%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $79.67
5 Day Moving Average   $79.64(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.42(-0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.67(-0.51%)
To recent high   -13.3%
To recent low   31.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XRT price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 3% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XRT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Feb_26_2021	79.67 (-0.2%)	79.42 (0%)	79.64 (0%)	79.98	81.37(0%)	79.26(-0.44%)	78.82-82.53	-0.1(-0.2)	-0.3	0.2%	-0.1%	0%	-0.02%	-0.3%	53	1	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.3%)	4	0	0.4	Range Bound	79.32(0.07%)	79.38-79.26	4.38	-13.3%-31.9%
2	Feb_25_2021	79.84 (0%)	79.49 (0%)	79.62 (0.4%)	79.72	81.22(0%)	79.61(-3.07%)	79.21-85.69	-0.1(-0.1)	0.3	2%	-0.2%	0%	0.04%	-0.4%	60	1	N/A	Higher(3.3%)	3	0	0.5	Range Bound	79.68(0.09%)	79.61-79.74	6.58	-13%-32.5%
3	Feb_24_2021	80.37 (0.2%)	79.48 (0%)	79.3 (0.8%)	78.83	78.6(0%)	82.13(5.29%)	77.49-82.3	-0.2(0.5)	2.6	0.6%	0.3%	0%	0.1%	-1.1%	68	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.9%)	3	0.1	1.1	N/A	82.06(-0.08%)	81.31-82.68	2.59	-10.2%-36.7%
4	Feb_23_2021	80.32 (0.2%)	79.2 (0%)	78.68 (-0.4%)	78.34	78.22(0%)	78(-1.54%)	74.38-78.32	-0.4(-0.7)	-0.6	-0.8%	-0.2%	0%	0.12%	-1.4%	63	1.5	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	4	-0.6	1.5	N/A	78.94(1.21%)	78.52-79.29	2.61	-14.7%-30.6%
5	Feb_22_2021	80.27 (0.4%)	79.41 (0%)	79.02 (-0.2%)	78.79	79.06(0%)	79.22(0.09%)	78.8-80.08	-0.2(-0.3)	-0.1	0.3%	0.1%	0%	0.14%	-1.1%	38	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	5	-0.3	1.7	N/A	79.76(0.68%)	79.76-79.76	1.98	-13.4%-32.7%

6	Feb_19_2021	80.09 (0.4%)	79.39 (-0.2%)	79.17 (-0.2%)	78.96	78.46(0%)	79.15(1.49%)	78.27-79.65	-0.1(-0.2)	-0.2	-0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.02%	-0.9%	28	1.6	N/A	Range(0%)	5	-0.2	1.9	N/A	79.59(0.55%)	79.43-79.72	1.72	-13.5%-37.5%
7	Feb_18_2021	79.83 (0.4%)	79.21 (-0.2%)	79.35 (-0.4%)	79.19	78.51(0%)	77.99(-1.34%)	77.22-78.59	-0(-0.4)	-1.5	-0.9%	0.1%	0%	-0.06%	-0.8%	41	1.7	N/A	Range(-0.1%)	5	-0.5	1.9	N/A	78.65(0.85%)	77.99-79.19	2.08	-14.7%-38.4%
8	Feb_17_2021	79.61 (0.4%)	79.2 (-0.6%)	79.66 (-0.2%)	79.69	79.46(0%)	79.05(-0.78%)	77.81-79.67	0.1(-0.1)	-1.1	-0.4%	0.3%	0%	-0.22%	-0.5%	32	1.9	N/A	Range(0.3%)	5	-0.3	2.1	Downtrend	78.81(-0.3%)	78.61-79.27	1.89	-13.6%-40.5%
9	Feb_16_2021	79.31 (0.4%)	78.94 (-0.6%)	79.78 (-0.1%)	79.88	79.87(0%)	79.67(-0.42%)	78.99-80.73	0.2(0.1)	0.2	%	-0.1%	0%	-0.3%	-0.5%	50	2	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.1%)	5	-0.2	2	Correction	79.1(-0.72%)	79.2-78.97	1.3	-12.9%-42.1%
10	Feb_12_2021	78.96 (0.6%)	79.21 (-0.4%)	79.86 (0.3%)	79.83	79.93(0%)	80.01(0%)	79.26-80.31	0.3(0.2)	0.7	0.1%	-0.5%	0%	-0.18%	0.3%	57	2.1	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(-0.4%)	5	0	2.1	Correction	79.35(-0.83%)	79.01-79.76	0.55	-12.5%-49.6%

11	Feb_11_2021	78.67 (0.6%)	79.92 (-0.2%)	79.63 (0.7%)	79.88	79.88(0%)	80.01(0.54%)	79-81.32	0.3(0.3)	1.5	0.4%	-0.1%	0%	0.02%	1.6%	58	2.2	N/A	Range(0.3%)	5	0.1	2.2	Correction	79.67(-0.42%)	78.98-80.52	1.29	-12.5%-49.6%
12	Feb_10_2021	78.27 (0.6%)	80.18 (-0%)	79.06 (0.5%)	79.52	79.74(0%)	79.58(-0.08%)	78.33-80.7	0.3(0.2)	3.5	0.2%	-0.8%	0%	0.12%	2.4%	60	2.3	N/A	Range(-0.6%)	6	0.1	2.2	Correction	79.06(-0.65%)	77.98-80.38	1.87	-13%-48.7%
13	Feb_9_2021	77.91 (0.6%)	81.27 (0.2%)	78.65 (0.9%)	79	79.87(0%)	79.64(-0.54%)	79.19-80.26	0.3(0.3)	2.6	0.8%	0%	0%	0.4%	4.3%	61	2.4	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.1%)	6	0.1	2	Uptrend	80.72(1.35%)	79.36-81.3	1.69	-12.9%-48.9%
14	Feb_8_2021	77.44 (0.8%)	81.47 (0.4%)	77.95 (-0.7%)	78.41	79.31(0%)	80.07(1.53%)	79.44-80.46	0.3(0.5)	1	0.8%	0.5%	0%	0.48%	5.2%	61	2.5	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.3%)	6	0.2	1.8	Uptrend	81.17(1.37%)	79.63-81.83	2.14	-12.5%-49.7%
15	Feb_5_2021	76.87 (0.8%)	81.16 (0.6%)	78.52 (-2.3%)	77.87	78.13(0%)	78.86(2.2%)	77.5-80.15	0.3(0.3)	-2.2	-0.7%	0.5%	0%	0.66%	5.6%	61	2.6	Correction	Range(-0.2%)	6	0.3	1.7	Uptrend Consolidation	78.58(-0.36%)	77.94-80.49	3.33	-13.8%-47.4%

16	Feb_4_2021	76.37 (1%)	80.85 (0.8%)	80.35 (-1.4%)	79.47	77.51(0%)	77.16(-0.44%)	77.06-78.31	0.6(0.1)	-7.8	-1.5%	0.4%	0%	0.94%	5.9%	57	2.8	Correction	Range(-0.9%)	6	0.1	1.5	Uptrend	79.74(3.35%)	77-80.92	3.47	-15.6%-47.4%
17	Feb_3_2021	75.93 (1.2%)	80.57 (1.2%)	81.51 (-3.3%)	82.36	77.62(0%)	77.5(1.79%)	76.08-78.46	0.9(0.2)	-1.8	-4%	0.6%	0%	1.16%	6.1%	60	2.9	Correction	Lower(-3.4%)	7	0.3	1.7	Uptrend Consolidation	77.47(-0.04%)	76.51-80.36	5.17	-15.3%-48.1%
18	Feb_2_2021	75.35 (1.4%)	80.19 (1.6%)	84.31 (-1.2%)	84.7	81.43(0%)	76.14(-8.21%)	75.28-80.43	1.4(0.1)	-1.7	-4.8%	0.5%	0%	1.58%	6.4%	58	3.1	Correction Correction	Range(-0.2%)	7	0.2	1.4	Uptrend	80.94(6.3%)	75.97-83.06	9.56	-16.8%-50.3%
19	Feb_1_2021	74.77 (1.6%)	79.94 (2%)	85.37 (1.6%)	87.7	87.1(0%)	82.95(-5.75%)	81.46-88.11	1.9(1.1)	-0.3	0.3%	1.3%	0%	1.82%	6.9%	69	3.5	Uptrend Dip	Higher(4.5%)	8	1.2	1.1	Uptrend Dip	99.83(20.35%)	80.12-104.76	8.8	-9.3%-63.7%
20	Jan_29_2021	73.84 (1.4%)	78.87 (1.8%)	84.01 (3.2%)	86.26	87.98(0%)	88.01(6.07%)	83.49-93.48	2.1(2)	1.8	1.5%	1.8%	-3.3%	1.76%	6.8%	77	3.7	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-5.3%)	9	2.3	0.2	Overbought	86.13(-2.14%)	76.87-100.01	11.83	-3.8%-76.6%

21	Jan_28_2021	72.65 (1.2%)	77.38 (1.6%)	81.38 (2.5%)	83.32	88.31(0%)	82.97(-9.29%)	78.11-99.24	2.1(1.5)	0.6	3.8%	1.4%	-3.2%	1.56%	6.5%	75	3.6	Uptrend Dip	Lower(-4.8%)	9	1.8	0.6	Uptrend Dip	98.05(18.18%)	79.16-102.78	31.18	-9.3%-66.5%
22	Jan_27_2021	71.69 (1.2%)	76.21 (1.6%)	79.42 (5%)	80.06	84.54(0%)	91.47(12.33%)	85.28-93.48	2.1(3.1)	2.2	6.2%	2.5%	-2.8%	1.4%	6.3%	92	3.9	Overbought	Lower(-2.8%)	9	3.5	0.9	Approaching Top	95.74(4.67%)	79.18-109.29	32.65	0%-83.5%
23	Jan_26_2021	70.29 (0.8%)	74.1 (1.2%)	75.65 (2.5%)	75.84	78.32(0%)	81.43(6.89%)	76.52-81.65	1.7(2.4)	2.8	2.9%	1.5%	0%	1.06%	5.4%	90	3.8	Overbought	Higher(4.4%)	9	2.6	1.5	Overbought	79.17(-2.77%)	72.85-88.67	9.62	0%-63.4%
24	Jan_25_2021	69.42 (0.8%)	72.87 (1%)	73.83 (1.2%)	74.16	75.58(0%)	76.18(1.75%)	74.68-82.51	1.5(1.7)	1.3	2.2%	1%	0%	0.96%	5%	89	3.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(3.2%)	9	1.7	2.2	Uptrend	79.62(4.51%)	74.99-81.6	10.69	0%-52.8%
25	Jan_22_2021	68.83 (0.8%)	72.07 (1%)	72.99 (0.3%)	72.92	73.36(0%)	74.87(2.32%)	72.45-74.97	1.5(1.6)	4	0.6%	0.9%	0%	0.94%	4.7%	83	3.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	9	1.7	2.1	Uptrend	77.89(4.04%)	73.66-79.71	3.74	0%-50.2%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low