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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)

XOP latest price $58.7200 (-1.51%) ($57.6400 - $59.4450) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Relative Overbought
Average Daily Price Swing  $6.15 (12.67% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.7% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  2% (StdDev 3.7%)
Daily Moving Force  3.1%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   2.02%
Latest Price  $58.7200(-1.51%)
Forecasted Low Price  58.19(-0.9%)
Forecasted High Price  62.71(6.8%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(5.9%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  12% (52.44)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  12.2%
Hourly Trend   3.2% [$58.89(1.91), $56.22(1.74)]
Complacency  9
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  XOP advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XOP advances 11.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XOP advance at 0.9% a week (91% probability)
  XLE(97%)    OIH(94%)    IWN(82%)    SDY(78%)    XLF(78%)  
Factors Impacting XOP price  XOP will advance at least 0.4% in a week (40% probabilities).
  TLT(-45%)    VIXM(-43%)    BNDX(-37%)    BND(-36%)    VXX(-35%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  There're alternative trades for stronger advance
 
Valuation to SPY   2
 
Relative Volatility   2.3 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  3.3% (StdDev 3.7%)
Hourly BBV   2.1 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.4%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $58.44(-0.48%)
Support Level  $48.55
5 Day Moving Average  $55.93(4.99%)
10 Day Moving Average  $53.26(10.25%)
20 Day Moving Average  $48.55(20.95%)
To recent high  -1.5%
To recent low  48.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XOP price fluctuates within 12.67% (three month std-dev: 3.7%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XOP price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201225

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_25_202048.55 (0.6%)53.26 (0.9%)55.93 (2.7%) 56.22 58.89(0%)58.72(-1.51%)57.64-59.451.5(1.7)2.1 3.1%2%0%2.02% Growing Uptrend  Higher(5.9%)9793.421.4Relative Overbought 63.02(7.32%)52.58-71.557.11   -1.5%-48.1% 
2Nov_24_202047.58 (0.5%)52.2 (0.9%)54.46 (2.7%) 54.48 56.98(0%)59.62(5.15%)58.23-60.011.9(2.1)2.1 4.5%2.1%0%1.96% Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.6%)9813.32.41.5Overbought 56.74(-4.83%)49.53-67.5513.44   0%-50.4% 
3Nov_23_202046.66 (0.5%)51.04 (1%)53.02 (1.9%) 52.81 53.55(0%)56.7(8.91%)52.95-56.831.8(2)2.6 2.3%1.8%0%1.92% Growing Uptrend  Higher(4.1%)97932.41.3Uptrend 60.59(6.86%)54.54-63.1812.09   0%-43% 
4Nov_20_202045.91 (0.5%)50.05 (1.2%)52.01 (1.3%) 51.96 51.98(0%)52.06(-0.97%)51.68-52.841.2(1.4)0.8 0.3%1.8%0%1.92% Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.6%)9742.81.81.4Relative Overbought 55.14(5.92%)48.62-60.484.84   -2.8%-31.3% 
5Nov_19_202045.52 (0.5%)48.97 (1.2%)51.37 (2.5%) 51.68 52.06(0%)52.57(2.42%)50.42-52.721.5(1.7)2.8 1.2%1.8%0%1.86% Growing Uptrend  Higher(3%)8782.721.7Growing Uptrend 56.43(7.35%)51.22-57.746.69   -3.3%-32.6% 
 
6Nov_18_202045.09 (0.5%)47.92 (1.2%)50.12 (1.2%) 50.71 51.95(0%)51.33(-2.15%)51.3-53.991.4(1.6)1 1.7%1.7%0%1.68% Growing Uptrend  Higher(4.5%)7762.51.91.9Relative Overbought 53.19(3.63%)47.6-57.778.86   -6.2%-29.5% 
7Nov_17_202044.62 (0.4%)46.97 (1.2%)49.51 (1.6%) 49.37 51.3(0%)52.46(1.63%)50.14-52.51.9(2.1)1.9 2.5%1.9%0%1.66% Growing Uptrend  Higher(4.4%)7812.42.31.8Uptrend 54.86(4.57%)50.83-56.587.07   -6.1%-32.3% 
8Nov_16_202044.14 (0.4%)45.89 (1.3%)48.75 (1.9%) 48.68 49.48(0%)51.62(5.65%)49.9-51.812.1(2.3)2.2 2.9%1.8%-1.3%1.54% Growing Uptrend  Range(-1%)7702.12.41.9Growing Uptrend 53.89(4.4%)50.1-54.8410.94   -7.6%-30.2% 
9Nov_13_202043.65 (0.4%)44.9 (1.4%)47.86 (3.6%) 47.87 47.45(0%)48.86(5.44%)46.67-49.111.7(1.9)3 0.5%1.5%0%1.36% Growing Uptrend  Higher(2%)7651.81.91.1Growing Uptrend 50.75(3.87%)47.86-51.487.45   -13%-23.2% 
10Nov_12_202043.36 (0.2%)44.07 (1%)46.2 (2%) 47.48 47.88(0%)46.34(-4.02%)45.88-48.381(1.2)0.5 0.9%1%0%0.86% Uptrend Dip  Higher(3.9%)7531.710.7Uptrend Dip 48.29(4.21%)45.4-49.019.64   -17.5%-16.9% 
 
11Nov_11_202043.26 (0.1%)43.5 (0.6%)45.31 (3%) 46.05 48.29(0%)48.28(-0.74%)47.8-49.431.8(2.1)4 2.9%1.6%0%0.54% Growing Uptrend  Higher(4.9%)6571.71.91.3Relative Overbought 47.89(-0.8%)45.44-49.96.44   -14.1%-21.8% 
12Nov_10_202043.02 (-0%)42.61 (0.2%)43.98 (3.2%) 44.37 47.09(0%)48.64(3.14%)46.59-48.72.3(2.6)1.7 5.1%1.4%-2.7%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Lower(-3.4%)5641.52.60.7Uptrend Reversal 49.42(1.61%)48.76-49.8610.17   -13.4%-22.7% 
13Nov_9_202042.75 (-0.2%)41.88 (-0.2%)42.62 (2.4%) 42.83 43.82(0%)47.16(16.19%)44.98-48.152.2(2.4)1.7 3.6%1%-1.5%-0.18% Uptrend Reversal  Range(-1.6%)4581.32-0.4N/A 45.92(-2.62%)44.6-47.0120.23   -16.1%-18.9% 
14Nov_6_202042.6 (-0.4%)41.35 (-0.6%)42.62 (0%) 41.85 41.64(0%)40.59(-3.08%)40.46-42.42-1(-1.2)-0.8 -0.3%-0.8%0%-0.4% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.4%)4441.4-2.71.9Downtrend 40.36(-0.57%)40.13-40.95.91   -27.8%-2.4
15Nov_5_202042.81 (-0.3%)41.76 (-0.5%)41.61 (0.6%) 41.88 41.84(0%)41.88(0.55%)41.4-42.97-0.4(-0.6)1.5 0.2%-0.6%0%-0.36% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.4%)5451.4-2.20.9Downtrend 41.64(-0.58%)41.48-425.25   -25.5%-5.6% 
 
16Nov_4_202042.99 (-0.2%)42.01 (-0.6%)41.37 (1%) 41.46 42.06(0%)41.65(-0.36%)40.58-42.65-0.8(-0.8)1.8 0.7%-0.2%0%-0.38% Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop Range(0.7%)6391.4-1.90.5Downtrend Consolidation 41.59(-0.14%)42.2-41.3910.27   -25.9%-5% 
17Nov_3_202043.09 (-0.2%)42.1 (-0.9%)40.97 (-0.1%) 40.96 41.93(0%)41.8(-0.83%)41.4-43.37-0.7(-0.8)0.9 1.7%-0.3%0%-0.52% Rebound  Higher(1.8%)5441.4-0.9-1.6Downtrend 41.49(-0.74%)41.26-42.038.32   -25.6%-5.4% 
18Nov_2_202043.14 (-0.2%)42.27 (-0.9%)41.01 (-0.2%) 40.4 40.86(0%)42.15(3.87%)39.8-42.75-0.6(-0.6)0.9 0.9%-0.1%0%-0.52% Rebound  Range(0.8%)4451.30.4-2.5After Bottom 42.1(-0.11%)41.34-42.738.48   -25%-6.3% 
19Oct_30_202043.21 (-0.2%)42.32 (-1%)41.09 (-2.1%) 40.61 39.99(0%)40.58(-0.2%)39.45-40.82-1.5(-1.7)-1.7 -0.9%-0.6%0%-0.58% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.4%)3371.4-0.7-2.2Growing Downtrend 40.21(-0.9%)39.83-40.998.17   -27.8%-2.3
20Oct_29_202043.29 (-0.1%)42.63 (-0.8%)41.96 (-1.9%) 41.35 39.95(0%)40.66(2.55%)38.39-40.79-1.5(-1.7)-1.2 -2.9%-0.7%0%-0.44% Downtrend Pop  Lower(-3.6%)3371.4-1.2-2.4Downtrend 40.42(-0.6%)40.14-41.077.69   -27.6%-2.5
 
21Oct_28_202043.32 (-0%)43.07 (-0.6%)42.78 (-1.3%) 42.66 41.23(0%)39.65(-5.64%)39.6-40.97-2.2(-2.4)-2.5 -2.7%-0.9%1.5%-0.3% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.7%)3311.3-1.9-2.4Downtrend 39.58(-0.17%)39.3-40.2411.32   -29.4%-0
22Oct_27_202043.47 (0.1%)43.54 (-0.5%)43.36 (-0.7%) 43.53 42.75(0%)42.02(-1.22%)41.79-42.69-1(-1.1)-1.2 -1.8%-0.3%0%-0.18% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.5%)3461.1-1-0.6Correction 41.18(-1.99%)41.02-41.835.51   -25.2%-3.3% 
23Oct_26_202043.5 (0.1%)43.75 (-0.3%)43.67 (-0.1%) 43.73 44.08(0%)42.54(-5.3%)42.13-44.15-0.6(-0.8)-0.6 -0.3%-0.4%0%-0.08% Growing Downtrend  Higher(2%)3531.1-0.7-0.2Correction 41.94(-1.41%)41.81-42.487.22   -24.3%-4.6% 
24Oct_23_202043.56 (0%)43.99 (-0.1%)43.7 (0.6%) 43.76 44.31(0%)44.92(0.34%)44.36-45.521(1.1)1.4 1.5%0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Higher(1.6%)3561.10.70.8Range Bound 44.69(-0.52%)44.4-44.925.87   -20.1%-10.4% 
25Oct_22_202043.44 (-0.2%)43.96 (-0%)43.42 (-0.1%) 43.35 43.38(0%)44.77(5.24%)42.46-44.861.1(1.1)2.4 0.1%-0%0%-0.06% Correction  Range(0.1%)3621.10.60.6N/A 44.34(-0.97%)43.92-44.689.61   -20.3%-10.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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