Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $42.0300 (0.55%) ($41.2830 - $42.0800) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.27% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $42.0300(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(61%)    URA(59%)    PAVE(57%)    IFRA(56%)    VFMO(56%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    UUP(-33%)    VXX(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.135% (StdDev 2.27%)
Hourly BBV 0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.82(-12.4%)
Resistance Level   $42.26
5 Day Moving Average   $41.21(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.77(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.26(-0.54%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 2.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.79%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.97%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	42.48	42.26	41.77	41.21	41.32	41.78	42.03(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	90	15	-43	3.02	51%	0.14	-34.1	2.27%	0.2	-0.2	44	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	42.42	42.35	41.91	40.95	40.7	41.72	41.8(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	160	17	-50	5.57	51%	0.07	-32.7	2.29%	0.7	-0.5	44	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	42.39	42.4	41.92	41.07	40.68	40.85	42.15(3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	0	22	-51	3.59	54%	0.12	-39.7	2.3%	1.3	-0.2	46	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	42.34	42.41	41.98	41.13	40.84	39.68	40.64(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-220	-37	-71	3.84	49%	0.07	-51.8	2.29%	0.5	-1.6	44	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	42.31	42.49	42.14	41.54	41.59	40.51	39.41(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-64	-180	-62	-69	14.42	46%	0.07	-61.8	2.29%	-1.4	-3	39	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	42.28	42.61	42.56	42.39	42.49	42	40.76(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-32	-70	-33	-27	4.66	49%	0.09	-83.6	2.26%	-2.2	-2.4	40	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	42.24	42.71	42.83	42.97	42.94	42.66	42.37(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-50	-8	-1	3.92	52%	0.05	-103.9	2.2%	-1.3	-0.5	41	1
8	Jul_14_2021	42.22	42.83	42.9	42.88	43.13	42.98	42.47(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10	-3	-1	2.67	55%	0.12	-99	2.21%	-1.4	-0.4	50	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	42.17	42.98	42.89	42.95	42.83	43.22	42.67(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	60	3	4	2.57	55%	0.09	-84.8	2.24%	-1.7	-0.3	53	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	42.13	43.12	42.86	42.83	42.7	43.29	43.67(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	90	23	9	3.15	57%	0.17	-77.2	2.22%	0.8	0.5	59	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	42.06	43.27	42.79	42.78	42.52	42.44	43.65(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-30	8	11	4.36	57%	0.21	-62.9	2.22%	1.3	0.3	63	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	41.97	43.41	42.8	42.7	42.59	42.11	41.92(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-90	-22	5	3.01	53%	0.14	-56.8	2.17%	-0.8	-0.9	48	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	41.91	43.65	42.89	42.93	42.99	42.6	42.82(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-60	-9	6	4.24	53%	0.17	-50.2	2.15%	0.2	-0.5	40	1
14	Jul_6_2021	41.84	43.86	42.85	42.83	43.03	43.07	42.07(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	20	-7	-16	4.08	53%	0.17	-50.1	2.15%	-1.6	-0.9	34	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	41.77	44.06	42.87	42.87	42.97	43.38	43.42(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	70	13	-30	1.74	57%	0.19	-49.7	2.1%	1.3	-0.3	37	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	41.69	44.22	42.67	42.79	42.79	43	43.28(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	30	6	-70	2.89	57%	0.19	-50.4	2.11%	1.9	-0.5	32	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	41.61	44.37	42.58	42.93	42.87	42.56	43.06(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-50	-2	-94	4.1	57%	0.19	-44.6	2.11%	1.3	-0.6	33	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	41.53	44.57	42.75	42.87	43.1	42.57	42.32(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-70	-17	-116	3.04	57%	0.17	-38.5	2.1%	-0.8	-1.1	28	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	41.46	44.84	43.06	42.88	43.23	43.18	42.26(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	20	-8	-120	3.84	57%	0.19	-34.6	2.13%	-1.5	-1.2	27	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	41.38	45.05	43.4	42.84	43.11	43.63	43.02(-2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	100	21	-107	8.44	62%	0.22	-32.4	2.25%	0.3	-1	36	2

21	Jun_24_2021	41.29	45.24	43.78	42.5	42.67	43.29	44(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	110	28	-115	7.01	62%	0.27	-33.5	2.24%	1.6	-0.6	37	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	41.18	45.31	44.03	42.2	42.22	42.6	42.76(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	60	2	-136	4.41	54%	0.22	-37.8	2.21%	0.9	-1.3	31	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	41.09	45.4	44.44	42.65	42.28	42.04	42.34(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-70	-18	-126	4.77	54%	0.22	-37.9	2.32%	1.7	-1.6	26	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	41	45.57	44.92	43.31	43.01	41.84	42.08(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-210	-40	-118	8.71	54%	0.24	-35.8	2.35%	0	-2	22	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	40.9	45.72	45.36	44.07	43.88	42.52	41.31(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-82	-230	-72	-111	12.78	54%		-28.4	2.34%	-1.3	-2.8	28	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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