Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 15, 2021

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $40.8500 (0.96%) ($40.2900 - $41.0000) on Thu. Apr. 15, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $40.8500(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(63%)    URA(59%)    PAVE(58%)    IFRA(57%)    VFMO(57%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    UUP(-33%)    VXX(-11%)    IGOV(-8%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.83(2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.05(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.44(3.58%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   26.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.74%(64%) Average negative next day return: -1.92%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 3.54%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.94%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.71%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.94%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2021	36.02	39.44	40.05	39.83	39.82	40.4	40.85(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	100	22	28	4.35	62%	0.31	-19.7	2.57%	0.9	1.2	71	1.8
2	Apr_14_2021	35.91	39.43	39.95	39.65	39.53	39.62	40.46(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	10	10	34	4.91	62%	0.31	-23.1	2.61%	1.2	0.9	73	1.4
3	Apr_13_2021	35.8	39.39	39.84	39.56	39.5	39.23	39.17(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-50	-12	38	3.55	58%	0.31	-24.5	2.58%	0.4	-0.2	70	1.7
4	Apr_12_2021	35.69	39.47	39.83	39.8	39.75	39.44	39.19(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-60	-16	46	3.01	58%	0.31	-11.1	2.61%	-1.1	-0.2	53	1.8
5	Apr_9_2021	35.58	39.58	39.9	40.11	40.09	39.76	39.5(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-60	-13	59	3.73	58%	0.34	8	2.6%	-1.2	-0.1	49	1.5

6	Apr_8_2021	35.46	39.67	39.73	40.29	40.41	40.06	39.94(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-50	-7	55	3	58%	0.34	27.4	2.62%	-0.6	0.2	49	1.5
7	Apr_7_2021	35.34	39.7	39.43	40.28	40.45	40.42	40.02(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	10	-3	35	2.28	58%	0.34	34.5	2.63%	-1.5	0.2	45	1.4
8	Apr_6_2021	35.22	39.68	39.12	40.14	40.39	40.76	40.36(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	80	15	21	2.06	61%	0.34	37.7	2.63%	-0.4	0.5	52	1.2
9	Apr_5_2021	35.1	39.61	38.95	39.85	39.99	40.48	40.75(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	100	16	1	3.14	63%	0.63	37	2.73%	1.2	0.8	48	1.3
10	Apr_1_2021	34.88	39.48	38.82	39.67	39.61	40.02	40.36(1.1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	15	70	23	-11	2.58	63%	0.4	37.9	2.76%	1.1	0.6	44	1.3

11	Mar_31_2021	34.74	39.3	38.75	39.09	39.34	39.5	39.92(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	50	26	-35	5.43	63%	0.4	25.4	2.78%	1.5	0.4	42	1.2
12	Mar_30_2021	34.6	39.23	38.82	38.45	38.54	39.21	39.31(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	130	15	-59	3.14	64%	0.38	9.2	2.77%	0	0.1	45	1.2
13	Mar_29_2021	34.47	39.17	38.86	37.92	38.1	39.18	38.9(-2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	210	29	-67	5.11	64%	0.38	-2	2.8%	0.7	-0.2	49	1
14	Mar_26_2021	34.34	39.11	39.05	37.91	37.61	37.87	39.86(6.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	20	15	-66	8.55	64%	0.44	-4.2	2.76%	1.6	0.4	54	1.4
15	Mar_25_2021	34.19	38.92	39.18	37.89	37.69	37.02	37.48(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-140	-24	-69	6.91	62%	0.41	-6.2	2.67%	0.2	-0.8	51	1.1

16	Mar_24_2021	34.05	38.94	39.59	38.4	38.41	37.35	36.68(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-190	-44	-38	5.72	62%	0.32	8.1	2.68%	-1.3	-1.3	55	1
17	Mar_23_2021	33.94	39.1	40.01	39.25	39.25	38.36	36.7(-5.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-30	-160	-40	1	9.03	62%	0.35	34.5	2.68%	-1.9	-1.5	46	1.1
18	Mar_22_2021	33.82	39.2	40.34	39.88	39.98	39.46	38.81(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-80	-25	38	4.2	66%	0.45	55.4	2.58%	-1	-0.3	56	1.9
19	Mar_19_2021	33.67	39.18	40.4	40.32	40.26	40.15	39.8(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-20	-18	66	8.12	66%	0.48	69	2.55%	-0.6	0.4	62	1.6
20	Mar_18_2021	33.51	39.03	40.25	40.66	40.64	40.51	40(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-20	-5	96	6.96	63%	0.51	71.6	2.57%	-0.3	0.5	69	1.2

21	Mar_17_2021	33.34	38.8	39.96	40.97	40.82	40.38	40.94(2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	-90	-10	103	5.24	63%	0.51	74.3	2.6%	1.5	1.1	63	2.1
22	Mar_16_2021	33.17	38.55	39.72	40.92	41.07	40.78	39.86(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	-40	-7	99	3.27	62%	0.48	76.7	2.58%	0	0.7	50	1.9
23	Mar_15_2021	33.01	38.37	39.53	40.85	41.01	41.27	41.02(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	60	12	105	5.14	66%	0.49	76.3	2.55%	0	1.4	58	2.4
24	Mar_12_2021	32.85	38.1	39.18	40.45	40.51	41.36	41.49(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	150	34	98	5.38	66%	0.49	74.3	2.56%	0	1.8	60	1.8
25	Mar_11_2021	32.69	37.78	38.62	39.76	39.81	40.75	41.56(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	170	52	78	6.67	66%		71.3	2.58%	0	2.1	65	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.