Home      Tickers | SPY | NQ100 | DOW | Global | ETFs | Sector ETFs | 3x ETFs | ETF Movers | Stock Movers | Trading Alerts
     ^  XLV:  Intraday  Forecast  Similar  Waves  Research  Timing  Gains  Losses  Strategies  Practice
     Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: XLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(Health Care sector ETF)

XLV latest price $121.4800 (0.75%) ($120.7800 - $121.6150) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Breakout
Trend Narrative  Overbought
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.8 (1.54% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.83% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.4% (StdDev 0.83%)
Daily Moving Force  0.9%
Correction Force  Weak (-0.3%)
Hourly Trend Strength  0.8%
Trend   0.22%
Trend Strength  1%
Trend Clarity  0.26(0.4/1.8/117.15)
RSI   73
Momentum  1.9
Latest Price  $121.4800(0.75%)
Forecasted Low Price  120.87(-0.5%)
Forecasted High Price  121.97(0.4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-0.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  3.6% (117.29)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  3.1%
Hourly Trend   1.1% [$120.58(1.34), $119.49(0.83)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  8
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLV advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLV advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLV advance at 0.2% a week (87% probability)
  SPLV(87%)    SPY(86%)    DIA(82%)    VT(79%)    IDRV(76%)  
Factors Impacting XLV price  XLV will decline at least -0.1% in a week (50% probabilities).
  OIH(-59%)    IGOV(-56%)    TBT(-49%)    XLE(-42%)    XOP(-37%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  A pullback is expected soon.
 
Valuation to SPY 0
 
Relative Volatility   2.6 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.5% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV   0.9 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $121.75(0.22%)
Support Level  $117.15
5 Day Moving Average  $119.45(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average  $118.32(2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average  $117.15(3.7%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  9.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $124.97 (2.87%)
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLV price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.83%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLV price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
Hourly
Trend
Strength
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Apr_16_2021117.15 (0.2%)118.32 (0.2%)119.45 (0.6%) 119.49 120.58(0%)121.48(0.75%)120.78-121.622(2.4)0.9 0.9%0.4%-0.3%0.8%0.22%1%731.9 Breakout  Range(-0.2%)80-0.3Overbought 120.13(-1.11%)118.49-122.67.45   0%-9.6% 
2Apr_15_2021116.79 (0.2%)117.79 (0.2%)118.74 (0.7%) 118.66 119.24(0%)120.58(1.71%)119.02-120.931.9(2.4)1.9 0.6%0.3%0%0.54%0.2%0.9%781.6 Breakout  Higher(0.9%)7-0.4-0.4Overbought 119.3(-1.06%)117.86-121.468.43   0%-8.8% 
3Apr_14_2021116.5 (0.2%)117.38 (0.2%)117.96 (0.4%) 118.02 118.4(0%)118.55(-0.01%)118.34-119.031.6(1.6)2.3 0.3%0.2%0%0.19%0.16%0.8%751.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)7-0.9-0.5Uptrend 118.86(0.26%)118.18-119.156.23   -0%-7% 
4Apr_13_2021116.33 (0.2%)117.17 (0.2%)117.55 (0.3%) 117.58 118.08(0%)118.56(0.42%)117.7-118.891.4(1.8)2 0.3%0.1%0%0.38%0.16%0.7%741.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)7-1.2-0.8Uptrend 118.8(0.2%)118.15-119.076.52   0%-7% 
5Apr_12_2021116.16 (0.2%)117.05 (0.2%)117.19 (0.2%) 117.18 117.65(0%)118.07(0.1%)117.65-118.311.3(1.7)1.3 0.3%0.1%0%0.36%0.16%0.8%621.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)7-1.3-0.8The Top 117.94(-0.11%)116.94-118.778.28   -0.4%-6.6% 
 
6Apr_9_2021115.99 (0.2%)116.93 (0.2%)117.01 (0.3%) 116.96 117.07(0%)117.95(1.1%)116.67-118.021.2(1.8)3.9 0.2%0.2%0%0.15%0.16%0.8%641.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)7-1.6-1.2Overbought 117.35(-0.51%)116.62-118.455.92   -0.5%-6.5% 
7Apr_8_2021115.8 (0.2%)116.63 (0.2%)116.7 (-0%) 116.91 116.7(0%)116.67(0.15%)116.51-117.181(0.8)0.4 -0.1%0.2%0%-0.19%0.16%0.7%621.1 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)6-2.1-1.4Uptrend 116.93(0.22%)116.54-117.094.29   -1.5%-5.3% 
8Apr_7_2021115.66 (0.2%)116.42 (0.2%)116.71 (-0%) 116.86 116.85(0%)116.49(-0.22%)116.19-117.081(0.7)-2.3 -0.1%0.1%0%-0.14%0.16%0.7%601.2 Correction  Range(0.1%)6-2.1-1.7Uptrend 116.76(0.23%)116.35-116.945.75   -1.7%-5.1% 
9Apr_6_2021115.51 (0.2%)116.24 (0.2%)116.72 (-0.1%) 116.92 117.11(0%)116.75(-0.38%)116.58-117.691.1(1)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.16%0.16%0.6%581.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)7-2-1.9After Top 116.81(0.05%)116.12-117.385.21   -1.5%-5.4% 
10Apr_5_2021115.31 (0.2%)116.13 (0.2%)116.88 (0%) 116.85 116.86(0%)117.2(0.7%)116.79-117.561.3(1.5)0.2 0.1%0.2%0%0%0.16%0.7%601.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)7-2-2Uptrend 117.47(0.23%)116.87-117.727.19   -1.1%-5.8% 
 
11Apr_1_2021115.11 (0.2%)115.91 (0.2%)116.85 (0.3%) 116.86 116.74(0%)116.39(-0.3%)116.02-117.041.4(0.8)-2.3 %0.2%0%-0.06%0.18%0.7%611.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)6-1.5-2.3Uptrend 116.82(0.37%)116.19-117.16.67   -1.8%-5% 
12Mar_31_2021114.84 (0.2%)115.75 (0.2%)116.54 (0.4%) 116.72 116.84(0%)116.74(0.2%)116.56-117.451.5(1.2)-0.1 0.2%0.2%0%-0.07%0.16%0.8%641.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)60.5-1.8Uptrend 117.1(0.31%)116.41-117.398.5   -1.5%-5.4% 
13Mar_30_2021114.62 (0.2%)115.56 (0.2%)116.06 (0.4%) 116.11 116.98(0%)116.51(-0.9%)116.24-117.251.4(1.2)0.5 0.4%0.1%0%0.55%0.12%0.8%671.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)60.8-2.5Uptrend 116.73(0.19%)116.16-116.986.86   -1.7%-5.2% 
14Mar_29_2021114.48 (0%)115.43 (0.2%)115.66 (0.3%) 115.57 116.59(0%)117.57(0.47%)116.51-117.971.2(2.1)1.7 0.8%0.2%0%0.99%0.12%0.8%751.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)61.8-2.3The Top 117.18(-0.33%)115.87-118.258.95   -0.8%-6.1% 
15Mar_26_2021114.28 (0%)115.18 (0.2%)115.28 (0.3%) 115.03 115.25(0%)117.02(1.89%)114.83-117.171(2.1)3 0.4%0.2%0%0.1%0.12%0.8%761.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)61.1-2Uptrend 117.15(0.11%)116.51-117.437.65   -1.2%-5.6% 
 
16Mar_25_2021114.06 (0%)114.93 (0.2%)114.89 (0%) 114.75 114.54(0%)114.85(0.42%)113.35-115.070.7(0.7)0.5 -0.1%0%0%-0.3%0.1%0.8%661.3 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)60.6-2.2Uptrend Consolidation 114.62(-0.2%)114.5-115.0111.51   -3.1%-3.7% 
17Mar_24_2021113.99 (0%)114.88 (0.2%)114.85 (-0.1%) 114.87 114.81(0%)114.37(-0.11%)114.34-115.250.8(0.3)-3.8 -0.1%0%0%-0.15%0.12%0.8%751.3 Correction  Range(-0%)70.9-1.8N/A 114.5(0.11%)114.11-114.8112.65   -3.5%-3.2% 
18Mar_23_2021114 (0%)114.83 (0.2%)114.96 (-0.1%) 114.9 114.96(0%)114.5(-1.01%)114.21-115.720.9(0.4)-0.5 %0.1%0%0.1%0.16%0.7%631.2 Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.6%)80.3-2.2N/A 114.67(0.15%)114.24-115.029.17   -3.4%-3.3% 
19Mar_22_2021113.97 (0%)114.74 (0.2%)115.12 (0%) 114.87 114.94(0%)115.67(0.52%)114.03-115.751(1.5)2.8 %0.2%0%0.12%0.16%0.7%581.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)80.6-1N/A 115.61(-0.05%)114.79-116.296.16   -2.4%-4.4% 
20Mar_19_2021113.88 (-0%)114.45 (0.2%)115.07 (0.1%) 114.98 114.84(0%)115.07(0.36%)114.2-115.750.9(1.1)-0.1 %0.1%0%0.05%0.14%0.5%541.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)81.1-0.1N/A 115.05(-0.02%)114.4-115.5712.6   -2.9%-3.9% 
 
21Mar_18_2021113.84 (-0%)114.25 (0.2%)114.97 (0.1%) 114.96 114.79(0%)114.66(-0.21%)114.32-115.60.8(0.7)-0.5 -0.1%0.2%0%-0.02%0.12%0.4%601.2 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)8-0.2-1.3Uptrend Reversal 115.03(0.32%)114.72-115.248.55   -3.2%-3.5% 
22Mar_17_2021113.88 (-0%)113.9 (0.2%)114.91 (0.2%) 114.87 115.11(0%)114.9(-0.36%)114.21-115.470.7(0.8)0.2 0.1%0.1%0%0.08%0.1%0%551.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)8-2-0.4Uptrend Reversal 115.31(0.36%)114.96-115.547.49   -3%-3.7% 
23Mar_16_2021113.95 (-0%)113.64 (0.2%)114.66 (0.3%) 114.74 115.12(0%)115.32(-0.06%)114.9-115.720.6(1)0.6 0.4%0.1%0%0.3%0.06%-0.3%511.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)7-1.3-0.4Uptrend Reversal 115.75(0.37%)115.39-115.998.62   -2.7%-4.1% 
24Mar_15_2021113.97 (-0%)113.46 (0%)114.28 (0.5%) 114.41 114.63(0%)115.39(0.69%)114.26-115.420.2(1.1)1.5 0.3%0.1%0%0.1%0.02%-0.4%541.4 N/A  Range(0.4%)7-1.50.6Uptrend Reversal 115.83(0.38%)115.46-116.077.12   -2.6%-4.1% 
25Mar_12_2021114.04 (-0%)113.3 (0%)113.75 (0.3%) 114.16 114.35(0%)114.6(0.22%)113.93-114.76-0.2(0.4)2.1 0.2%0.1%0%0.03%-0.02%-0.6%511.6 N/A  Range(0.3%)6-1.70.1Rebound 114.37(-0.2%)114.53-114.37.45   -3.3%-3.4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
Earning Calendar   About   Contact Us  
Copyright ©2016 SmartTrading. All rights reserved. Denver, Colorado, USA