Trading Signals: XLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLV: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: XLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(Health Care sector ETF)
XLV latest price $121.4800 (0.75%) ($120.7800 - $121.6150) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Breakout
Trend Narrative   Overbought
Average Daily Price Swing   $1.8 (1.54% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.4% (StdDev 0.83%)
Daily Moving Force   0.9%
Correction Force   Weak (-0.3%)
Hourly Trend Strength   0.8%
Trend   0.22%
Trend Strength   1%
Trend Clarity   0.26(0.4/1.8/117.15)
RSI   73
Momentum   1.9
Latest Price   $121.4800(0.75%)
Forecasted Low Price   120.87(-0.5%)
Forecasted High Price   121.97(0.4%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(-0.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   3.6% (117.29)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   3.1%
Hourly Trend 1.1% [$120.58(1.34), $119.49(0.83)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   8
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   XLV advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLV advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLV advance at 0.2% a week (87% probability)
SPLV(87%)    SPY(86%)    DIA(82%)    VT(79%)    IDRV(76%)
Factors Impacting XLV price   XLV will decline at least -0.1% in a week (50% probabilities).
OIH(-59%)    IGOV(-56%)    TBT(-49%)    XLE(-42%)    XOP(-37%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   A pullback is expected soon.

Valuation to SPY 0

Relative Volatility 2.6 (options are extremely expensive)

Market Trend Strength   0.5% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Next Day Open Price   $121.75(0.22%)
Support Level   $117.15
5 Day Moving Average   $119.45(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $118.32(2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.15(3.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

One Year Target Price    $124.97 (2.87%)

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLV price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.83% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLV price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Apr_16_2021	117.15 (0.2%)	118.32 (0.2%)	119.45 (0.6%)	119.49	120.58(0%)	121.48(0.75%)	120.78-121.62	2(2.4)	0.9	0.9%	0.4%	-0.3%	0.8%	0.22%	1%	73	1.9	Breakout	Range(-0.2%)	8	0	-0.3	Overbought	120.13(-1.11%)	118.49-122.6	7.45	0%-9.6%
2	Apr_15_2021	116.79 (0.2%)	117.79 (0.2%)	118.74 (0.7%)	118.66	119.24(0%)	120.58(1.71%)	119.02-120.93	1.9(2.4)	1.9	0.6%	0.3%	0%	0.54%	0.2%	0.9%	78	1.6	Breakout	Higher(0.9%)	7	-0.4	-0.4	Overbought	119.3(-1.06%)	117.86-121.46	8.43	0%-8.8%
3	Apr_14_2021	116.5 (0.2%)	117.38 (0.2%)	117.96 (0.4%)	118.02	118.4(0%)	118.55(-0.01%)	118.34-119.03	1.6(1.6)	2.3	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.19%	0.16%	0.8%	75	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	7	-0.9	-0.5	Uptrend	118.86(0.26%)	118.18-119.15	6.23	-0%-7%
4	Apr_13_2021	116.33 (0.2%)	117.17 (0.2%)	117.55 (0.3%)	117.58	118.08(0%)	118.56(0.42%)	117.7-118.89	1.4(1.8)	2	0.3%	0.1%	0%	0.38%	0.16%	0.7%	74	1.3	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	7	-1.2	-0.8	Uptrend	118.8(0.2%)	118.15-119.07	6.52	0%-7%
5	Apr_12_2021	116.16 (0.2%)	117.05 (0.2%)	117.19 (0.2%)	117.18	117.65(0%)	118.07(0.1%)	117.65-118.31	1.3(1.7)	1.3	0.3%	0.1%	0%	0.36%	0.16%	0.8%	62	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	7	-1.3	-0.8	The Top	117.94(-0.11%)	116.94-118.77	8.28	-0.4%-6.6%

6	Apr_9_2021	115.99 (0.2%)	116.93 (0.2%)	117.01 (0.3%)	116.96	117.07(0%)	117.95(1.1%)	116.67-118.02	1.2(1.8)	3.9	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.15%	0.16%	0.8%	64	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	7	-1.6	-1.2	Overbought	117.35(-0.51%)	116.62-118.45	5.92	-0.5%-6.5%
7	Apr_8_2021	115.8 (0.2%)	116.63 (0.2%)	116.7 (-0%)	116.91	116.7(0%)	116.67(0.15%)	116.51-117.18	1(0.8)	0.4	-0.1%	0.2%	0%	-0.19%	0.16%	0.7%	62	1.1	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	6	-2.1	-1.4	Uptrend	116.93(0.22%)	116.54-117.09	4.29	-1.5%-5.3%
8	Apr_7_2021	115.66 (0.2%)	116.42 (0.2%)	116.71 (-0%)	116.86	116.85(0%)	116.49(-0.22%)	116.19-117.08	1(0.7)	-2.3	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	-0.14%	0.16%	0.7%	60	1.2	Correction	Range(0.1%)	6	-2.1	-1.7	Uptrend	116.76(0.23%)	116.35-116.94	5.75	-1.7%-5.1%
9	Apr_6_2021	115.51 (0.2%)	116.24 (0.2%)	116.72 (-0.1%)	116.92	117.11(0%)	116.75(-0.38%)	116.58-117.69	1.1(1)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.16%	0.16%	0.6%	58	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	7	-2	-1.9	After Top	116.81(0.05%)	116.12-117.38	5.21	-1.5%-5.4%
10	Apr_5_2021	115.31 (0.2%)	116.13 (0.2%)	116.88 (0%)	116.85	116.86(0%)	117.2(0.7%)	116.79-117.56	1.3(1.5)	0.2	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.16%	0.7%	60	1.3	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	7	-2	-2	Uptrend	117.47(0.23%)	116.87-117.72	7.19	-1.1%-5.8%

11	Apr_1_2021	115.11 (0.2%)	115.91 (0.2%)	116.85 (0.3%)	116.86	116.74(0%)	116.39(-0.3%)	116.02-117.04	1.4(0.8)	-2.3	%	0.2%	0%	-0.06%	0.18%	0.7%	61	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	6	-1.5	-2.3	Uptrend	116.82(0.37%)	116.19-117.1	6.67	-1.8%-5%
12	Mar_31_2021	114.84 (0.2%)	115.75 (0.2%)	116.54 (0.4%)	116.72	116.84(0%)	116.74(0.2%)	116.56-117.45	1.5(1.2)	-0.1	0.2%	0.2%	0%	-0.07%	0.16%	0.8%	64	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	6	0.5	-1.8	Uptrend	117.1(0.31%)	116.41-117.39	8.5	-1.5%-5.4%
13	Mar_30_2021	114.62 (0.2%)	115.56 (0.2%)	116.06 (0.4%)	116.11	116.98(0%)	116.51(-0.9%)	116.24-117.25	1.4(1.2)	0.5	0.4%	0.1%	0%	0.55%	0.12%	0.8%	67	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1%)	6	0.8	-2.5	Uptrend	116.73(0.19%)	116.16-116.98	6.86	-1.7%-5.2%
14	Mar_29_2021	114.48 (0%)	115.43 (0.2%)	115.66 (0.3%)	115.57	116.59(0%)	117.57(0.47%)	116.51-117.97	1.2(2.1)	1.7	0.8%	0.2%	0%	0.99%	0.12%	0.8%	75	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1%)	6	1.8	-2.3	The Top	117.18(-0.33%)	115.87-118.25	8.95	-0.8%-6.1%
15	Mar_26_2021	114.28 (0%)	115.18 (0.2%)	115.28 (0.3%)	115.03	115.25(0%)	117.02(1.89%)	114.83-117.17	1(2.1)	3	0.4%	0.2%	0%	0.1%	0.12%	0.8%	76	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	6	1.1	-2	Uptrend	117.15(0.11%)	116.51-117.43	7.65	-1.2%-5.6%

16	Mar_25_2021	114.06 (0%)	114.93 (0.2%)	114.89 (0%)	114.75	114.54(0%)	114.85(0.42%)	113.35-115.07	0.7(0.7)	0.5	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.3%	0.1%	0.8%	66	1.3	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(-0.1%)	6	0.6	-2.2	Uptrend Consolidation	114.62(-0.2%)	114.5-115.01	11.51	-3.1%-3.7%
17	Mar_24_2021	113.99 (0%)	114.88 (0.2%)	114.85 (-0.1%)	114.87	114.81(0%)	114.37(-0.11%)	114.34-115.25	0.8(0.3)	-3.8	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.15%	0.12%	0.8%	75	1.3	Correction	Range(-0%)	7	0.9	-1.8	N/A	114.5(0.11%)	114.11-114.81	12.65	-3.5%-3.2%
18	Mar_23_2021	114 (0%)	114.83 (0.2%)	114.96 (-0.1%)	114.9	114.96(0%)	114.5(-1.01%)	114.21-115.72	0.9(0.4)	-0.5	%	0.1%	0%	0.1%	0.16%	0.7%	63	1.2	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(0.6%)	8	0.3	-2.2	N/A	114.67(0.15%)	114.24-115.02	9.17	-3.4%-3.3%
19	Mar_22_2021	113.97 (0%)	114.74 (0.2%)	115.12 (0%)	114.87	114.94(0%)	115.67(0.52%)	114.03-115.75	1(1.5)	2.8	%	0.2%	0%	0.12%	0.16%	0.7%	58	1.3	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	8	0.6	-1	N/A	115.61(-0.05%)	114.79-116.29	6.16	-2.4%-4.4%
20	Mar_19_2021	113.88 (-0%)	114.45 (0.2%)	115.07 (0.1%)	114.98	114.84(0%)	115.07(0.36%)	114.2-115.75	0.9(1.1)	-0.1	%	0.1%	0%	0.05%	0.14%	0.5%	54	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	8	1.1	-0.1	N/A	115.05(-0.02%)	114.4-115.57	12.6	-2.9%-3.9%

21	Mar_18_2021	113.84 (-0%)	114.25 (0.2%)	114.97 (0.1%)	114.96	114.79(0%)	114.66(-0.21%)	114.32-115.6	0.8(0.7)	-0.5	-0.1%	0.2%	0%	-0.02%	0.12%	0.4%	60	1.2	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	8	-0.2	-1.3	Uptrend Reversal	115.03(0.32%)	114.72-115.24	8.55	-3.2%-3.5%
22	Mar_17_2021	113.88 (-0%)	113.9 (0.2%)	114.91 (0.2%)	114.87	115.11(0%)	114.9(-0.36%)	114.21-115.47	0.7(0.8)	0.2	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.08%	0.1%	0%	55	1.3	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	8	-2	-0.4	Uptrend Reversal	115.31(0.36%)	114.96-115.54	7.49	-3%-3.7%
23	Mar_16_2021	113.95 (-0%)	113.64 (0.2%)	114.66 (0.3%)	114.74	115.12(0%)	115.32(-0.06%)	114.9-115.72	0.6(1)	0.6	0.4%	0.1%	0%	0.3%	0.06%	-0.3%	51	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	7	-1.3	-0.4	Uptrend Reversal	115.75(0.37%)	115.39-115.99	8.62	-2.7%-4.1%
24	Mar_15_2021	113.97 (-0%)	113.46 (0%)	114.28 (0.5%)	114.41	114.63(0%)	115.39(0.69%)	114.26-115.42	0.2(1.1)	1.5	0.3%	0.1%	0%	0.1%	0.02%	-0.4%	54	1.4	N/A	Range(0.4%)	7	-1.5	0.6	Uptrend Reversal	115.83(0.38%)	115.46-116.07	7.12	-2.6%-4.1%
25	Mar_12_2021	114.04 (-0%)	113.3 (0%)	113.75 (0.3%)	114.16	114.35(0%)	114.6(0.22%)	113.93-114.76	-0.2(0.4)	2.1	0.2%	0.1%	0%	0.03%	-0.02%	-0.6%	51	1.6	N/A	Range(0.3%)	6	-1.7	0.1	Rebound	114.37(-0.2%)	114.53-114.3	7.45	-3.3%-3.4%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low